Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto — Copa Colombia

Copa Colombia· Round of 16

Independiente Medellin

Deportivo Pasto

WLWDLLGoals 8-91st in league

DDWLLDGoals 15-14

Kicks off in0d 0h 0m 0s

Kickoff: Aug 20, 2026, 8:00 PM (stadium time)

Your time: —

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.

Independiente MedellinDeportivo Pasto

0.8
Goals/game: 1.5; 0.9
Conceded/game: 1.4

AI match analysis

Independiente Medellin win

50%

Draw

20%

Deportivo Pasto win

30%

46.6%BTTS

40.4%Over 2.5

30.1%Independiente Medellin clean sheet

33.3%Deportivo Pasto clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that Independiente Medellin has a favorable historical edge over Deportivo Pasto, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. Furthermore, Deportivo Pasto's recent form includes four losses in their last five matches, indicating struggles defensively, which may favor Medellin's chances despite being yet to play at home this season. The most likely outcome points to a narrow win for Independiente Medellin.

Independiente Medellin unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
Independiente Medellin currently ranks 1st in their league
Independiente Medellin has not yet played a home match this season

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

65/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Independiente Medellin

Sharper attackDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game
Tighter defenseIndependiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded
Historical edgeIndependiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins
Poor recent formIndependiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Lineups not confirmed
Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

Match trends

Independiente Medellin have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Deportivo Pasto have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.