Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Primera División· Apertura - 15
WWLWGoals 25-166th in league
WLDDGoals 23-1915th in league
Home4W 2D 3L(12-11)
Away0W 4D 4L(6-13)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 29'R. Zamora
  2. 44'R. Cardozo
  3. 44'D. Navarro
  4. 46'R. Zamora (K. Sanchez)
  5. 46'Gean (A. Mercado)
  6. 46'C. Urdininea (S. Torres)
  7. 46'Luis Zeballos (J. Goyeneche)
  8. 46'A. Aramayo (J. Ramallo)
  9. 46'Matheus Moresche (R. Ferrufino)
  10. 47'S. Torres
  11. 58'A. Mercado
  12. 64'E. Quispe
  13. 72'German Arauz
  14. 75'L. Vargas (R. Monteiro)
  15. 78'G. Cristaldo (L. Palma)
  16. 78'R. Cardozo (J. Bejarano)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Independiente PetroleroGualberto Villarroel SJ
2.5
Goals/game
2.3
1.6
Conceded/game
1.9

AI match analysis

Independiente Petrolero win
49%
Draw
25%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ win
26%
76.3%BTTS
78.3%Over 2.5
14.2%Independiente Petrolero clean sheet
11.1%Gualberto Villarroel SJ clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests a competitive matchup, especially considering that Independiente Petrolero has shown improvement at home recently, winning against strong opponents. However, Gualberto Villarroel SJ's past head-to-head success against Independiente adds an element of uncertainty. The scoring averages indicate both teams can find the net, favoring a close scoreline.

  • Independiente Petrolero's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
  • Gualberto Villarroel SJ has not won any of their last 6 away games.
  • Historically, Gualberto Villarroel SJ has won 3 of the last 4 encounters against Independiente Petrolero.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Independiente Petrolero

  • Historical edgeGualberto Villarroel SJ

    Gualberto Villarroel SJ have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Good recent formIndependiente Petrolero

    Independiente Petrolero have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Strong home recordIndependiente Petrolero

    Independiente Petrolero have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.

    4/9 home wins
  • Weak away recordGualberto Villarroel SJ

    Gualberto Villarroel SJ have won 0 of their last 8 away matches.

    0/8 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Independiente Petrolero at 49% — final result was Independiente Petrolero win, Independiente Petrolero 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (85/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Independiente Petrolero1.84market 54.4% · model 49%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3.55market 28.2% · model 26%
Draw3.62market 27.6% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Independiente Petrolero have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gualberto Villarroel SJ have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Independiente Petrolero wins
1Draws
3Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins
3-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Independiente Petrolero1.84best 1.91
Draw3.62best 3.80
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3.55best 3.76

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.52best 1.57
Under 2.52.31best 2.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.49best 1.53
No2.40best 2.55

Double chance

Independiente Petrolero/Draw1.23best 1.29
Independiente Petrolero/Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.22best 1.28
Draw/Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.85best 1.91

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Independiente Petrolero1.84 0.14
Draw3.62 0.21
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3.55 0.45
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Independiente Petrolero win-0.4pp
AI
49%
Market
49.4%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
25%
Market
25.1%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ win+0.4pp
AI
26%
Market
25.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Independiente Petrolero
17746025LWWD
15
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
17287-814DLLD

Pre-match comparison

2.5Goals scored per game2.3
1.6Goals conceded per game1.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

C. Arteaga

4Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Independiente Petrolero

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
8.3%
61-75'
41.7%
76-90+'
33.3%

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
62.5%
76-90+'
12.5%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?+

Our AI model favors Independiente Petrolero to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 25%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 26%).

What time does Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).