Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Match events
- 29'R. Zamora
- 44'R. Cardozo
- 44'D. Navarro
- 46'R. Zamora (K. Sanchez)
- 46'Gean (A. Mercado)
- 46'C. Urdininea (S. Torres)
- 46'Luis Zeballos (J. Goyeneche)
- 46'A. Aramayo (J. Ramallo)
- 46'Matheus Moresche (R. Ferrufino)
- 47'S. Torres
- 58'A. Mercado
- 64'E. Quispe
- 72'German Arauz
- 75'L. Vargas (R. Monteiro)
- 78'G. Cristaldo (L. Palma)
- 78'R. Cardozo (J. Bejarano)
- 2.5
- Goals/game
- 2.3
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup, especially considering that Independiente Petrolero has shown improvement at home recently, winning against strong opponents. However, Gualberto Villarroel SJ's past head-to-head success against Independiente adds an element of uncertainty. The scoring averages indicate both teams can find the net, favoring a close scoreline.
- Independiente Petrolero's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ has not won any of their last 6 away games.
- Historically, Gualberto Villarroel SJ has won 3 of the last 4 encounters against Independiente Petrolero.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Independiente Petrolero
- Historical edgeGualberto Villarroel SJ
Gualberto Villarroel SJ have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
3/4 H2H wins - Good recent formIndependiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Strong home recordIndependiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.
4/9 home wins - Weak away recordGualberto Villarroel SJ
Gualberto Villarroel SJ have won 0 of their last 8 away matches.
0/8 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Independiente Petrolero at 49% — final result was Independiente Petrolero win, Independiente Petrolero 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Independiente Petrolero have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 25 | LWWD | |
| 15 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -8 | 14 | DLLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
C. Arteaga
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Independiente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
More Primera División predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?+
Our AI model favors Independiente Petrolero to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 25%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 26%).
What time does Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).

