Indy Eleven vs Louisville City
Match events
- 31'B. Rendon (A. Quinn)
- 46'B. Dayes (E. Perez)
- 59'K. Adams (T. Davila)
- 60'J. Blake (E. Kizza)
- 63'R. Serrano (T. Showunmi)
- 68'J. Hafferty (M. Rasheed)
- 68'E. Kizza (L. Mesanvi)
- 69'K. Adams
- 73'J. Morris (J. Wilson)
- 80'B. Rendon (M. Henry-Scott)
- 83'Q. Huerman (M. Akale)
- 83'Z. Duncan (E. Davila)
- 90+4'J. Blake (H. Barry)
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 0.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Louisville City has a strong historical advantage over Indy Eleven, having won 5 of their last 6 matchups. While Indy Eleven has a solid home record, their recent form raises concerns as they have lost 3 of their last 5 matches. The numbers favor Louisville City, especially given their recent away victory and overall stronger performance in the league.
- Indy Eleven has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Louisville City has only lost 1 of their last 5 matches
- Historically, Louisville City has won 5 of the last 6 encounters against Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven has a home record of 6W, 2D, 1L this season, while Louisville has a weaker away record of 4W, 2D, 4L.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Louisville City
- Historical edgeLouisville City
Louisville City have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Strong home recordIndy Eleven
Indy Eleven have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.
7/10 home wins - Weak away recordLouisville City
Louisville City have won 4 of their last 11 away matches.
4/11 away wins - Tighter defenseLouisville City
Louisville City are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Louisville City at 48% — final result was Indy Eleven win, Indy Eleven 2-1 Louisville City.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Indy Eleven have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Louisville City have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Louisville City
Indy ElevenIndy ElevenLouisville CityIndy ElevenLouisville CityLouisville CityIndy ElevenLouisville CityIndy ElevenIndy ElevenLouisville CityIndy ElevenLouisville CityLouisville CityIndy ElevenOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 28 | WDLL |
| 5 | Louisville City | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +1 | 31 | WDLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Hassan
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Indy Eleven
Louisville City
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Birmingham LegionFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?+
Our AI model favors Louisville City to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 23%, Indy Eleven 29%).
What time does Indy Eleven vs Louisville City kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).