Inter vs Monza
Match events
- 6'Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Andy Diouf)
- 29'Gustavo Varela (M. Mout)
- 34'Lautaro Martínez
- 45+1'Hakan Çalhanoğlu
- 48'Piotr Zieliński
- 54'Lautaro Martínez (Ange-Yoan Bonny)
- 54'Hakan Çalhanoğlu (P. Sučić)
- 55'Francesco Pio Esposito (Andy Diouf)
- 63'Y. Bisseck (Francesco Pio Esposito)
- 69'E. Kouadio
- 70'A. Colpani (O. Forson)
- 70'M. Mout (Nicolas Galazzi)
- 70'A. Bakoune (P. Cutrone)
- 75'Manuel Akanji (J. Stones)
- 75'Andy Diouf (Luis Henrique)
- 83'Gustavo Varela (Jay Robinson)
- 83'Piotr Zieliński (Aleksandar Stanković)
- 85'L. Lucchesi
- 87'L. Lucchesi (F. Delli Carri)
- 2.2
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-0
Data suggests that Inter is heavily favored against Monza based on their recent form and head-to-head history. Inter's scoring average of 2.2 goals per game, combined with Monza's defensive vulnerabilities, indicates a strong possibility of a home win.
- Inter has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Monza.
- Inter's last 10 matches show an average of 2.2 goals scored per game and only 0.9 goals conceded.
- Monza has struggled in recent form with two defeats in their last five matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Inter
- Higher league positionInter
Inter sit 15 places above Monza in the table.
#3 vs #18 - Historical edgeInter
Inter have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
3/6 H2H wins - Strong recent formInter
Inter are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Good recent formMonza
Monza have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Inter at 82.62% — final result was Inter win, Inter 4-1 Monza.
Predicted score was 2-0.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Inter have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Monza have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
L. Marinelli
Based on 18 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Inter
Monza
More Serie A predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Inter vs Monza?+
Our AI model favors Inter to win, with a 82.62% probability (Draw 11.76%, Monza 5.62%).
What time does Inter vs Monza kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).