Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto

Primera A· Clausura - 7
WLDDGoals 11-168th in league
LWLLGoals 14-173rd in league
Home5W 3D 1L(16-9)
Away4W 2D 3L(15-17)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'J. Perlaza (F. Leys)
  2. 9'Jonathan Perlaza (F. Leys)
  3. 22'M. Rodas (Cristián Dájome)
  4. 57'M. Gil (J. Micolta Piedahita)
  5. 57'F. Leys (D. Chavez)
  6. 57'J. Obregon (S. Cordoba)
  7. 60'F. Bone (J. Caballero)
  8. 60'D. S. Victoria Palacios (R. Manjarres)
  9. 68'F. Sanguinetti (F. Chaverra)
  10. 68'D. Duarte (Y. Garces)
  11. 73'J. Perlaza (Andrés Ibargüen)
  12. 77'M. Garavito (M. S. Jimenez)
  13. 78'M. Garavito
  14. 85'Cristián Dájome (S. Girado)
  15. 87'S. Cordoba
  16. 90+5'E. C. Serje Orozco

Lineups

Internacional de BogotaDeportivo Pasto
1.1
Goals/game
1.4
1.6
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Internacional de Bogota win
55%
Draw
28%
Deportivo Pasto win
17%
58.5%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
22.3%Internacional de Bogota clean sheet
24.7%Deportivo Pasto clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests Internacional de Bogota has a solid home advantage, having won 5 out of 9 matches this season. Conversely, Deportivo Pasto is in poor form, with five consecutive losses, which may impact their ability to compete effectively away. Given that previous encounters have been tightly contested, the predicted score leans slightly in favor of the home team.

  • Internacional de Bogota unbeaten at home this season with 5 wins from 9 matches.
  • Deportivo Pasto on a five-match losing streak, struggling for form.
  • Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested, often ending in draws.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
89/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Internacional de Bogota

  • Higher league positionDeportivo Pasto

    Deportivo Pasto sit 5 places above Internacional de Bogota in the table.

    #3 vs #8
  • Poor recent formDeportivo Pasto

    Deportivo Pasto have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong home recordInternacional de Bogota

    Internacional de Bogota have won 5 of their last 9 home matches.

    5/9 home wins
  • Strong away recordDeportivo Pasto

    Deportivo Pasto have won 4 of their last 9 away matches.

    4/9 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Internacional de Bogota at 55% — final result was a draw, Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Deportivo Pasto.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (89/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Internacional de Bogota1.65market 60.6% · model 55%
Draw3.45market 29% · model 28%
Deportivo Pasto5.53market 18.1% · model 17%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Internacional de Bogota have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Deportivo Pasto have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Internacional de Bogota wins
4Draws
2Deportivo Pasto wins
11-11Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Internacional de Bogota1.65best 1.80
Draw3.45best 3.60
Deportivo Pasto5.53best 6.12

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.15best 2.23
Under 2.51.65best 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes2.05best 2.10
No1.69best 1.75

Double chance

Internacional de Bogota/Draw1.13best 1.18
Internacional de Bogota/Deportivo Pasto1.26best 1.30
Draw/Deportivo Pasto2.14best 2.25

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.19best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.22best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.68best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.08best 2.15

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Internacional de Bogota1.65 0.32
Draw3.45 0.36
Deportivo Pasto5.53 1.50
25 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Internacional de Bogota win-1.3pp
AI
55%
Market
56.3%
Draw+1.1pp
AI
28%
Market
26.9%
Deportivo Pasto win+0.2pp
AI
17%
Market
16.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Internacional de Bogota
19775028DLWL
3
Deportivo Pasto
191045+434LLLL

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.4
1.6Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Ulloa

3.17Yellow cards / game
0.17Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Internacional de Bogota

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

More Primera A predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?+

Our AI model favors Internacional de Bogota to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 17%).

What time does Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 1:15 AM (your local time, based on your device).