Internacional vs Gremio

Copa Do Brasil· Quarter-finals
Internacional
00Full-time
Gremio
WDDDGoals 10-15
WWLLGoals 16-15
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 43'Matheus Bahia
  2. 43'Carlos Vinicius
  3. 45'Calebe (Bruno Henrique)
  4. 46'Bruno Gomes (Bruno Henrique)
  5. 58'J. Cabral (Francis Amuzu)
  6. 58'Carlos Vinicius (Martin Braithwaite)
  7. 65'J. Carbonero (Alan Patrick)
  8. 65'Paulinho Paula (A. Sanabria)
  9. 78'E. Noriega (Danilo Barbosa)
  10. 78'Cristian Pavón (J. Enamorado)
  11. 82'A. Bernabei
  12. 87'Bruno Gomes (B. Aguirre)
  13. 90+2'A. Bernabei (N. Eliasson)
  14. 90+3'Walter Kannemann

Lineups

InternacionalGremio
1.0
Goals/game
1.6
1.5
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Internacional win
50%
Draw
30%
Gremio win
20%
56.2%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
21.2%Internacional clean sheet
28.7%Gremio clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests that this match could be tightly contested, given Internacional's recent struggle to convert draws into wins at home and Gremio's mixed form, particularly away. The numbers favor a low-scoring encounter, as both teams have similar defensive records and average goals scored.

  • Internacional has drawn 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Gremio averages 1.6 goals scored in their last 10 matches
  • The last 5 head-to-head matches have been closely contested with Gremio holding a slight edge
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Internacional

  • Sharper attackGremio

    Gremio are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Internacional at 50% — final result was a draw, Internacional 0-0 Gremio.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Internacional1.88market 53.1% · model 50%
Draw3.22market 31.1% · model 30%
Gremio4.39market 22.8% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Internacional have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gremio have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Internacional wins
3Draws
2Gremio wins
11-11Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Internacional1.88best 1.93
Draw3.22best 3.35
Gremio4.39best 4.85

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.32best 2.43
Under 2.51.59best 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes2.03best 2.10
No1.72best 1.80

Double chance

Internacional/Draw1.20best 1.23
Internacional/Gremio1.32best 1.36
Draw/Gremio1.88best 1.93

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.23best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.17best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.67

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Internacional1.88 0.37
Draw3.22 0.12
Gremio4.39 1.14
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Internacional win+0.4pp
AI
50%
Market
49.6%
Draw+1pp
AI
30%
Market
29%
Gremio win-1.3pp
AI
20%
Market
21.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.6
1.5Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Internacional

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Gremio

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Internacional vs Gremio?+

Our AI model favors Internacional to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 30%, Gremio 20%).

What time does Internacional vs Gremio kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).