Isidro Metapán vs Alianza
Match events
- 89'K. Reyes
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup between Isidro Metapán and Alianza, with Isidro Metapán currently in better form and holding a perfect home record this season. However, recent encounters have shown a tendency for closely contested games, indicating a draw could be a plausible outcome.
- Isidro Metapán unbeaten at home this season with 2 wins in 2 matches
- Alianza has struggled recently, with just 1 win in their last 5 matches
- Last head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with two teams frequently splitting results
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Isidro Metapán
- Strong home recordIsidro Metapán
Isidro Metapán have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.
3/3 home wins - Weak away recordAlianza
Alianza have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins - Higher league positionIsidro Metapán
Isidro Metapán sit 9 places above Alianza in the table.
#1 vs #10 - Sharper attackIsidro Metapán
Isidro Metapán are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Isidro Metapán at 44% — final result was Isidro Metapán win, Isidro Metapán 2-0 Alianza.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Isidro Metapán have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Alianza have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Isidro Metapán
AlianzaAlianzaIsidro MetapánIsidro MetapánAlianzaAlianzaIsidro MetapánAlianzaIsidro MetapánIsidro MetapánAlianzaIsidro MetapánAlianzaAlianzaIsidro MetapánOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapán | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 | LWDW |
| 10 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | LDLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Isidro Metapán
Alianza
More Primera Division predictions
Municipal LimeñoIsidro Metapán
Inca Aruba
Cacahuatique
Platense
InterAlianza
Atletico BalboaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?+
Our AI model favors Isidro Metapán to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 31%, Alianza 25%).
What time does Isidro Metapán vs Alianza kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).