Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo

HNL· Regular Season - 3
DLDLGoals 9-157th in league
LLLWGoals 12-218th in league
Home1W 0D 1L(5-3)
Away0W 0D 2L(0-5)
Stadion Aldo Drosina

Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula · Capacity 8,923 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'F. Kutlesa
  2. 13'A. Mauric
  3. 16'N. Skafar Zuzic (I. Šaranić)
  4. 35'H. Jaganjac (I. Šaranić)
  5. 46'A. Mauric (G. Albarracin)
  6. 56'H. Jaganjac (E. Frederiksen)
  7. 61'N. Skafar Zuzic (D. Ahmeti)
  8. 61'I. Šaranić (V. Rozić)
  9. 63'L. Banovec (A. Adeshina)
  10. 64'L. Crepulja (A. Jonsson)
  11. 64'Ilija Nestorovski (A. Grgić)
  12. 76'R. Hrvatin (A. Kadušić)
  13. 76'D. Bosak (L. Bosnjak)
  14. 78'A. Adeshina
  15. 85'H. Jaganjac (Stipe Ukich)
  16. 85'D. Kovačić (K. Išasegi)
  17. 87'M. Dabro
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Istra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
0.9
Goals/game
1.2
1.5
Conceded/game
2.1

AI match analysis

Istra 1961 win
51%
Draw
26%
NK Slaven Belupo win
23%
57.5%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
25.9%Istra 1961 clean sheet
22.3%NK Slaven Belupo clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Istra 1961 holds a favorable position going into this match, having won the last three head-to-head meetings against NK Slaven Belupo. With Slaven struggling defensively, as evidenced by their average of 2.3 goals conceded per game in the last 10 matches, Istra may capitalize on this to secure a narrow victory.

  • Istra 1961 has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against NK Slaven Belupo.
  • Slaven Belupo has conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game in the last 10 matches.
  • Istra 1961 is currently ranked 6th, performing better than Slaven Belupo who is ranked 9th.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Istra 1961

  • Poor recent formNK Slaven Belupo

    NK Slaven Belupo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Tighter defenseIstra 1961

    Istra 1961 are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded
  • Historical edgeNK Slaven Belupo

    NK Slaven Belupo have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionIstra 1961

    Istra 1961 sit 1 place above NK Slaven Belupo in the table.

    #7 vs #8

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Istra 1961 at 51% — final result was Istra 1961 win, Istra 1961 3-0 NK Slaven Belupo.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Istra 19611.85market 53.9% · model 51%
Draw3.47market 28.8% · model 26%
NK Slaven Belupo3.82market 26.2% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Istra 1961 have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • NK Slaven Belupo have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Istra 1961 wins
3Draws
3NK Slaven Belupo wins
9-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Istra 19611.85best 1.95
Draw3.47best 3.66
NK Slaven Belupo3.82best 4.12

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.75best 1.85
Under 2.52.02best 2.11

Both teams to score

Yes1.65best 1.73
No2.10best 2.20

Double chance

Istra 1961/Draw1.22best 1.26
Istra 1961/NK Slaven Belupo1.25best 1.30
Draw/NK Slaven Belupo1.86best 1.93

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18best 1.18

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Istra 19611.85 0.08
Draw3.47 0.01
NK Slaven Belupo3.82 0.14
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Istra 1961 win+1.5pp
AI
51%
Market
49.5%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
26%
Market
26.4%
NK Slaven Belupo win-1pp
AI
23%
Market
24%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Istra 1961
4112+14LWDL
8
NK Slaven Belupo
4103-63WLLL

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.2
1.5Goals conceded per game2.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Istra 1961

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
50%

NK Slaven Belupo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More HNL predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?+

Our AI model favors Istra 1961 to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 26%, NK Slaven Belupo 23%).

Where is Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo played?+

The match is played at Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula (capacity 8,923).

What time does Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).