Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
EverBank Stadium
Value found
+18.3% edgeJacksonville Jaguars win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 24-21
The data suggests a competitive matchup, with the Jacksonville Jaguars demonstrating a strong scoring ability, averaging 29.9 points in their recent games. Conversely, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 23.6 points. Historically, Jacksonville has had the upper hand against Tampa Bay in their last five encounters, contributing to a slightly favorable outlook for the home team.
- Jacksonville Jaguars average 29.9 points scored over their last 10 matches
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers have conceded an average of 23.6 points in their last 10 games
- Jacksonville Jaguars hold a 20-7 edge in the last 5 head-to-head matchups
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Jacksonville Jaguars
- Tighter defenseJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars are conceding just 16.7 points per game over their recent matches.
16.7/game conceded - Historical edgeTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Jacksonville Jaguars at 53% — final result was Jacksonville Jaguars win, Jacksonville Jaguars 19-0 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Predicted score was 24-21.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Jacksonville Jaguars have averaged 29.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers have averaged 16.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Jacksonville Jaguars are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Jacksonville Jaguars | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.90 | 1.81 |
| +1.5 | 1.89 | 1.88 |
| +2 | 2.05 | 1.70 |
| +2.5 | 1.97▲ | 1.80▼ |
| +3 | 1.87▼ | 1.94▲ |
| +3.5 | 1.78▼ | 1.97▼ |
| +4 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| +4.5 | 1.67 | 2.06 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| 33.5 | 1.74 | 1.95 |
| 34 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| 34.5 | 1.85 | 1.89▼ |
| 35 | 1.99▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 35.5 | 1.94▲ | 1.83▼ |
| 36 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| 36.5 | 2.06 | 1.67 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Jacksonville JaguarsTampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay BuccaneersJacksonville JaguarsJacksonville JaguarsTampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay BuccaneersJacksonville JaguarsJacksonville JaguarsTampa Bay BuccaneersMore NFL predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?+
Our AI model favors Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 53% probability (Tampa Bay Buccaneers 47%).
What time does Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?+
Jacksonville Jaguars: 0-3-8-8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0-0-0-0. Final: 19-0.