Jeisla Chaves vs Carli Judice

UFC· UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues· Women's Strawweight
L
LW
Crispy6-2-0 (W-L-D)5 KO, 0 SUB
Ht 170cmWt 57kgReach 173cmStance Southpaw
Headkicks MMA

Value found

+28.2% edge

Jeisla Chaves win

4AI fair odds
5.13Bookmaker odds
+28.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Fight time
In Progress
Result

AI fight analysis

Jeisla Chaves win
25%
Carli Judice win
75%

Analysis suggests that Carli Judice has a clearer edge with her established career record and striking success, having finished 5 of her 6 wins by knockout. The absence of Jeisla Chaves' fight history creates uncertainty around her capabilities, likely contributing to a lower estimated win probability for her.

  • Carli Judice has a career record of 6-2-0, winning 5 of her fights by knockout.
  • Judice has experience fighting in the Women's Flyweight division.
  • Chaves' career record is not available, so there's uncertainty about her skill level.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two fighters is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and one fighter's career record or recent fight history is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited professional record

    Jeisla Chaves has a thin professional fight record on file, so career-stat signals here are based on a small sample.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Jeisla Chaves5.13best 5.81AI 25%
Carli Judice1.16best 1.17AI 75%

Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Jeisla Chaves5.13 0.87
Carli Judice1.16 0.05
13 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Jeisla Chaves win+6.5pp
AI
25%
Market
18.5%
Carli Judice win-6.5pp
AI
75%
Market
81.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Jeisla Chaves vs Carli Judice?+

Our AI model favors Carli Judice to win, with a 75% probability (Jeisla Chaves 25%).

What time does Jeisla Chaves vs Carli Judice start?+

This fight took place on Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What are the career records of Jeisla Chaves and Carli Judice?+

Jeisla Chaves is 0-0-0 (W-L-D). Carli Judice is 6-2-0 (W-L-D).