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Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers

K League 1· Regular Season - 25
Jeju United FC
1–2Full-time
Pohang Steelers
WWLDGoals 12-85th in league
LWWLGoals 10-116th in league
Home4W 6D 5L(15-17)
Away7W 2D 5L(20-19)
Jeju World Cup Stadium

Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo · Capacity 35,657 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'Won Ki-Jong (Hwang Seo-Woong)
  2. 44'Cho Sang-Hyeok
  3. 46'Park Chang-Jun (Matheus Aias)
  4. 46'T. Figueiredo (Chang-Min Lee)
  5. 46'Cho Sang-Hyeok (Jorge Teixeira)
  6. 49'K. Nishiya (Kim Dong-Jin)
  7. 58'Jo In-jung (Shin Sang-Eun)
  8. 64'Chang-Min Lee (Park Su-bin)
  9. 71'Sung-Yong Ki (J. da Rocha Junior)
  10. 71'Won Ki-Jong (Kim Seung-Ho)
  11. 76'Hwang Seo-Woong (Jin Si-woo)
  12. 78'Kim Shin-Jin (S. Yoo)
  13. 80'J. da Rocha Junior
  14. 87'K. Nishiya (Kang Min-Jun)
  15. 90+1'J. Celestine (Park Min-jae)

Lineups

Jeju United FC
Pohang Steelers
3-4-34-3-3
1
1. Dong-jun Kim
3
3. J. Celestine
6
6. Kwon Ki-Min
2
← 46'
2. T. Figueiredo
88
← 58'
88. Jo In-jung
5
5. Italo
7
← 46'
7. Park Chang-Jun
47
47. Park Min-jae
94
94. Emerson Ramon
18
← 78'
18. Kim Shin-Jin
24
24. Byung-wook Choi
7
← 71'
7. Won Ki-Jong
18
← 46'
18. Cho Sang-Hyeok
70
← 76'
70. Hwang Seo-Woong
16
16. Kim Dong-Jin
40
← 71'
40. Sung-Yong Ki
31
← 87'
31. K. Nishiya
77
77. Wanderson
4
4. Min-kwang Jeon
20
20. Park Chan-Yong
2
2. Jeong-won Eo
29
29. Sung-min Hong
Sergio CostaCoachTae-Ha Park
Bench (9)
Bench (9)
Jeju United FCPohang Steelers
1.2
Goals/game
1.0
0.8
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Jeju United FC win
40%
Draw
30%
Pohang Steelers win
30%
40.6%BTTS
33.7%Over 2.5
40.7%Jeju United FC clean sheet
31.7%Pohang Steelers clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests Jeju United FC may hold a slight edge as they are unbeaten in their last three home matches and recently secured wins against well-regarded teams. Conversely, Pohang Steelers struggle on the road, having lost four of their last five. The head-to-head history presents a competitive series, with recent matches often showcasing closely contested outcomes.

  • Jeju United FC unbeaten in last 3 home matches
  • Pohang Steelers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Jeju United FC scored an average of 1.2 goals per game across their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Jeju United FC

  • Good recent formJeju United FC

    Jeju United FC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formPohang Steelers

    Pohang Steelers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Weak home recordJeju United FC

    Jeju United FC have won 4 of their last 15 home matches.

    4/15 home wins
  • Strong away recordPohang Steelers

    Pohang Steelers have won 7 of their last 14 away matches.

    7/14 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Jeju United FC at 40% — final result was Pohang Steelers win, Jeju United FC 1-2 Pohang Steelers.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Jeju United FC2.33market 43% · model 40%
Pohang Steelers ✓3.08market 32.4% · model 30%
Draw3.10market 32.2% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Jeju United FC have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Pohang Steelers have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Jeju United FC wins
1Draws
5Pohang Steelers wins
9-13Goals
Pohang Steelers
1–0Sep 21, 2025, 10:00 AM
Jeju United FC
Pohang Steelers
2–1Jun 21, 2025, 10:00 AM
Jeju United FC
Jeju United FC
2–0Apr 20, 2025, 7:30 AM
Pohang Steelers
Jeju United FC
2–1Jul 13, 2024, 10:30 AM
Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers
1–1May 12, 2024, 7:30 AM
Jeju United FC
Jeju United FC
0–2Mar 30, 2024, 7:30 AM
Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers
4–2Jul 16, 2023, 10:30 AM
Jeju United FC
Pohang Steelers
2–1Jun 6, 2023, 9:00 AM
Jeju United FC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Jeju United FC2.33▼best 2.50
Draw3.10▲best 3.25
Pohang Steelers3.08▲best 3.26

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.27best 2.38
Under 2.51.59best 1.63

Both teams to score

Yes1.92▲best 1.95
No1.77▼best 1.80

Double chance

Jeju United FC/Draw1.34▼best 1.40
Jeju United FC/Pohang Steelers1.33▲best 1.36
Draw/Pohang Steelers1.57▲best 1.62

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44▲best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62▼best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30▼best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40▲best 3.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Jeju United FC2.33▼ 0.10
Draw3.10▲ 0.05
Pohang Steelers3.08▲ 0.18
22 Aug – 25 Aug

Model vs market

Jeju United FC win+0.1pp
AI
40%
Market
39.9%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
30%
Market
29.9%
Pohang Steelers win-0.1pp
AI
30%
Market
30.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Jeju United FC
25988+235DWWD
6
Pohang Steelers
2510411-534LWLL

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1
0.8Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Jeju United FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
16.7%

Pohang Steelers

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
40%
76-90+'
40%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers?+

Our AI model favors Jeju United FC to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 30%, Pohang Steelers 30%).

Where is Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers played?+

The match is played at Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo (capacity 35,657).

What time does Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).