Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa · Capacity 22,000 · grass
Match events
- 16'A. Zuniga
- 45+3'Y. Hinestroza
- 46'Y. Hinestroza (D. Carter)
- 58'M. Nunez
- 59'L. Hurtado (C. Mejia)
- 62'J. Rochez
- 67'K. Kelly (Y. Delgadillo)
- 67'J. Rochez (N. Gaboriell)
- 72'O. Barrios
- 83'M. Canales (J. Padilla)
- 83'R. Gonzalez (J. Centeno)
- 86'M. Rodriguez (D. Lagos)
- 88'J. Padilla
- 90+2'S. Elvir (J. Castrillo)
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests a challenging situation for Juticalpa, who are struggling with no points from four matches and a negative goal difference. Lobos Upnfm has shown a mix of performances, managing to secure draws in their last two games, which could give them confidence. Given their recent head-to-head history and form, the numbers favor Lobos Upnfm slightly for this fixture.
- Juticalpa on a four-match losing streak
- Lobos Upnfm recently drew their last two matches
- Historically, Lobos Upnfm has a slight edge in head-to-head matchups
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lobos Upnfm
- Historical edgeLobos Upnfm
Lobos Upnfm have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formJuticalpa
Juticalpa have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackLobos Upnfm
Lobos Upnfm are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1/game - Tighter defenseLobos Upnfm
Lobos Upnfm are conceding just 1.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lobos Upnfm at 41% — final result was Juticalpa win, Juticalpa 1-0 Lobos Upnfm.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Juticalpa have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Lobos Upnfm have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Juticalpa
Lobos UpnfmLobos UpnfmJuticalpaLobos UpnfmJuticalpaJuticalpaLobos UpnfmLobos UpnfmJuticalpaJuticalpaLobos UpnfmJuticalpaLobos UpnfmLobos UpnfmJuticalpaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Juticalpa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 3 | LLLL |
| 11 | Lobos Upnfm | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 | LDDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
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Who is likely to win Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?+
Our AI model favors Lobos Upnfm to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 29%, Juticalpa 30%).
Where is Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm played?+
The match is played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa (capacity 22,000).
What time does Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).