KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik — Úrvalsdeild

Úrvalsdeild· Regular Season - 20

KA Akureyri

3–5Full-time

KR Reykjavik

WLWWLDGoals 28-1911th in league

LDWWWDGoals 23-262nd in league

Home2W 1D 7L(14-20)

Away5W 2D 3L(32-25)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

4'A. Sigurdarson
9'A. Sigurdarson (S. Karason)
14'H. Steingrimsson
20'A. Rømer (S. Kroon)
28'A. Sigurdarson (S. Karason)
37'O. Kjartansson (S. Karason)
46'G. Hrafnkelsson (J. Robertsson)
49'E. Saebjornsson (L. Rae)
60'B. Baldvinsson (D. Djuric)
60'A. Palsson (M. M. Petursson)
67'M. Akoto (H. Sigurdsson)
68'S. Kroon (J. Pedersen)
75'S. Karason (S. Geirsson)
75'M. Thordarson (V. Saevarsson)
75'H. Tomasson (F. Heimisson)
75'G. Gudmundsson (A. Albertsson)
88'A. Thordarson (S. Asgeirsson)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

KA AkureyriKR Reykjavik

2.8
Goals/game: 2.3; 1.9
Conceded/game: 2.6

AI match analysis

KA Akureyri win

21%

Draw

16%

KR Reykjavik win

63%

81.9%BTTS

85.7%Over 2.5

12.2%KA Akureyri clean sheet

6.7%KR Reykjavik clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-3

Data suggests that KR Reykjavik is in strong form, having accumulated 40 points and demonstrating a high scoring average of 2.3 goals per game in their last 10 matchups. In contrast, KA Akureyri struggles in home fixtures with only 2 wins out of 9, making their path to victory challenging. The recent head-to-head history slightly favors KA Akureyri, but the current league standings and recent performances indicate a likely advantage for KR Reykjavik.

KR Reykjavik ranked 2nd in the league with 40 points.
KA Akureyri has won only 2 home games this season.
KR Reykjavik shows strong recent form with 4 wins in the last 5 matches.
Historically, KA Akureyri has a slight edge, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors KR Reykjavik

Higher league positionKR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik sit 9 places above KA Akureyri in the table.
#2 vs #11
Strong recent formKR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L
Weak home recordKA Akureyri
KA Akureyri have won 2 of their last 10 home matches.
2/10 home wins
Strong away recordKR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik have won 5 of their last 10 away matches.
5/10 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked KR Reykjavik at 63% — final result was KR Reykjavik win, KA Akureyri 3-5 KR Reykjavik.

Predicted score was 2-3.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

KR Reykjavik ✓1.55market 64.6% · model 63%

KA Akureyri4.02market 24.9% · model 21%

Draw4.89market 20.5% · model 16%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

KA Akureyri have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
KR Reykjavik have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3KA Akureyri wins

3Draws

2KR Reykjavik wins

10-9Goals

KA Akureyri

4–2Sep 21, 2025, 4:15 PM

KR Reykjavik

1–2Jul 6, 2025, 4:00 PM

KA Akureyri

2–2Apr 6, 2025, 4:15 PM

KR Reykjavik

2–0Jun 24, 2023, 5:00 PM

KA Akureyri

1–1Apr 10, 2023, 2:00 PM

KR Reykjavik

KA Akureyri

1–0Oct 2, 2022, 3:00 PM

KR Reykjavik

KA Akureyri

0–1Aug 2, 2022, 6:00 PM

KR Reykjavik

0–0May 7, 2022, 4:15 PM

KA Akureyri

Odds comparison

Match winner

KA Akureyri4.02▼best 4.60

Draw4.89▼best 5.74

KR Reykjavik1.55▲best 1.64

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.10▼best 1.14

Under 2.55.49▲best 6.50

Both teams to score

Yes1.18▼best 1.22

No4.17▲best 4.80

Double chance

KA Akureyri/Draw2.25▼best 2.50

KA Akureyri/KR Reykjavik1.13▲best 1.17

Draw/KR Reykjavik1.20▲best 1.25

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17▼best 1.17

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▲best 4.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes10.00best 10.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.03best 1.03

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

KA Akureyri4.02▼ 0.54

Draw4.89▼ 0.20

KR Reykjavik1.55▲ 0.07

20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

KA Akureyri win-1.6pp

21%

Market

22.6%

Draw-2.6pp

16%

Market

18.6%

KR Reykjavik win+4.2pp

63%

Market

58.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.