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Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau

Premier League· Regular Season - 22
Kairat Almaty
3–1Full-time
Ulytau
LLLLGoals 7-212nd in league
LDDDGoals 11-188th in league
Home8W 3D 0L(26-6)
Away1W 5D 5L(7-15)
Stadion Metallurg

Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan · Capacity 5,000 · artificial turf · Referee: S. Karabaev

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'Edmilson (Marc Gual)
  2. 44'D. Carmona Sierra
  3. 53'O. Jukkola (G. Mendonsa)
  4. 59'Edmilson
  5. 64'H. Harada (A. Taubay)
  6. 70'Edmilson (I. Bekbolat)
  7. 70'O. Baybek (A. Tuyakbaev)
  8. 72'Marc Gual
  9. 74'A. Tuyakbaev
  10. 76'A. Bougnone (K. Nursultanov)
  11. 76'D. Carmona Sierra (A. Akhmedov)
  12. 80'J. Oksanen (A. Sadybekov)
  13. 80'A. Mrynskiy (A. Nurgaliev)
  14. 81'K. Nursultanov
  15. 84'A. Shirobokov (E. Tapalov)
  16. 87'R. Serikkul (D. Maulenov)
  17. 87'K. Kishi (O. Nurali)
  18. 88'A. Nurgaliev
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Kairat AlmatyUlytau
0.7
Goals/game
1.1
2.1
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Kairat Almaty win
67.92%
Draw
19.3%
Ulytau win
12.78%
56.9%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
20.2%Kairat Almaty clean sheet
28.7%Ulytau clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests that Kairat Almaty is in strong form, having won all their home matches this season, while Ulytau has faced challenges away from home with a poor record. Recent head-to-head matchups also indicate Kairat's dominance, winning both recent encounters. The numbers favor Kairat Almaty to secure a victory, likely with a clean sheet.

  • Kairat Almaty unbeaten at home this season (7W 3D 0L)
  • Ulytau has struggled on the road, with only 1 away win this season
  • Recent head-to-head results favor Kairat, winning both recent encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Kairat Almaty

  • Historical edgeKairat Almaty

    Kairat Almaty have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    2/2 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordKairat Almaty

    Kairat Almaty have won 8 of their last 11 home matches.

    8/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordUlytau

    Ulytau have won 1 of their last 11 away matches.

    1/11 away wins
  • Poor recent formKairat Almaty

    Kairat Almaty have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Kairat Almaty at 67.92% — final result was Kairat Almaty win, Kairat Almaty 3-1 Ulytau.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Kairat Almaty ✓1.32market 75.5% · model 67.92%
Draw4.62market 21.6% · model 19.3%
Ulytau7.65market 13.1% · model 12.78%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Kairat Almaty have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Ulytau have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Kairat Almaty wins
0Draws
0Ulytau wins
5-1Goals
Kairat Almaty
1–0Aug 2, 2025, 1:00 PM
Ulytau
Ulytau
1–4May 3, 2025, 10:00 AM
Kairat Almaty

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kairat Almaty1.32▲best 1.39
Draw4.62▲best 5.00
Ulytau7.65▲best 8.95

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.62▲best 1.67
Under 2.52.17▼best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.88▲best 1.91
No1.79▼best 1.85

Double chance

Kairat Almaty/Draw1.05best 1.10
Kairat Almaty/Ulytau1.14best 1.18
Draw/Ulytau2.98▲best 3.14

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kairat Almaty1.32
Draw4.62▲ 0.02
Ulytau7.65▲ 0.19
15 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Kairat Almaty win-0.6pp
AI
67.92%
Market
68.5%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
19.3%
Market
19.6%
Ulytau win+0.9pp
AI
12.78%
Market
11.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Kairat Almaty
211461+2748WWWW
8
Ulytau
22778-628DLLD

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1.1
2.1Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Karabaev

4.33Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.67Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Ulytau

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau?+

Our AI model favors Kairat Almaty to win, with a 67.92% probability (Draw 19.3%, Ulytau 12.78%).

Where is Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau played?+

The match is played at Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan (capacity 5,000).

What time does Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 1:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).