Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis
Match events
- 41'J. Bolívar (Ahmad Mendes Moreira)
- 44'P. Kaloutsikidis
- 44'Rodrigues
- 45+2'Fabiano
- 45'Uroš Račić
- 60'K. Vargas (J. Cataldi)
- 66'Sebastián Palacios (M. Alfarela)
- 66'G. Gianniotas (Othman Boussaid)
- 68'K. Vargas (J. Bonetto)
- 68'Julio Alonso (U. Ignjatović)
- 69'P. Kaloutsikidis (I. Chatzitheodoridis)
- 75'J. Cataldi (A. Liatsikouras)
- 79'I. Chatzitheodoridis
- 81'Rafa Mir (Rafa Mir)
- 81'Tom Dele-Bashiru (Loren Moron)
- 82'Rodrigues (A. Guessand)
- 83'J. Pétris
- 84'Uroš Račić
- 85'J. Bolívar
- 88'Fabiano (B. Garre)
- 90+5'Rafa Mir (K. Galanopoulos)
- 3.0
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-2
Data suggests that both teams will come into this match with a recent trend of scoring, as Kalamata averages 3 goals over their last two fixtures, while Aris has scored an average of 1.6 goals in their last 10 matches. The numbers favor Aris slightly, given their more substantial away scoring history, though Kalamata's recent victories may bolster their confidence. The bookmaker-implied probabilities indicate a closely contested matchup, with a tendency for goals from both sides.
- Kalamata won last 2 matches with an average of 3 goals scored per game
- Aris Thessalonikis has a decent away form with 1.6 goals scored on average in last 10 matches
- Bookmaker-implied probabilities suggest a competitive match with potential for both teams to score
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Aris Thessalonikis
- Strong recent formKalamata
Kalamata are unbeaten in their last 2 matches, including 2 wins.
2W 0D 0L - Sharper attackKalamata
Kalamata are averaging 3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
3/game - Higher league positionAris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis sit 4 places above Kalamata in the table.
#5 vs #9 - Tighter defenseKalamata
Kalamata are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
Kalamata has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Aris Thessalonikis at 41.94% — final result was Aris Thessalonikis win, Kalamata 2-3 Aris Thessalonikis.
Predicted score was 2-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kalamata have averaged 3 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
- Aris Thessalonikis have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | W |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Kalamata
Aris Thessalonikis
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PAOKFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?+
Our AI model favors Aris Thessalonikis to win, with a 41.94% probability (Draw 31.28%, Kalamata 26.78%).
What time does Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).