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Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF

Allsvenskan· Regular Season - 17
Kalmar FF
0–4Full-time
Hammarby FF
LLWDGoals 22-913th in league
WLWWGoals 19-62nd in league
Home5W 2D 2L(14-11)
Away3W 2D 3L(11-10)
Guldfågeln Arena

Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar · Capacity 12,182 · grass · Referee: G. Maqedonci

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 23'F. Adjei
  2. 43'F. Adjei (A. Boudri)
  3. 46'M. Soderback (S. Overby)
  4. 46'Emeka Nnamani (M. Hallberg)
  5. 48'Frederik Franck Winther (V. Lind)
  6. 54'N. Persson (A. Boudri)
  7. 55'A. Magashy (Nassef Chourak)
  8. 55'K. Bjorklund (Z. Ravik)
  9. 61'P. Abraham (V. Lind)
  10. 73'Charles Sagoe Jr. (M. Stolt)
  11. 74'M. Madjed (O. Hagen)
  12. 74'F. Adjei (O. Johansson)
  13. 76'P. Abraham (S. Kebbeh)
  14. 80'A. Boudri (Nahir Besara)
  15. 80'N. Persson (O. Steinke)

Lineups

Kalmar FF
Hammarby FF
4-4-24-2-3-1
1
1. Samuel Brolin
2
2. V. Larsson
20
20. A. Almqvist
39
39. L. Saetra
27
27. Fabian Bjorklund
24
← 73'
24. Charles Sagoe Jr.
21
← 55'
21. A. Magashy
23. Robert Gojani
13
13. Charlie Rosenqvist
70
← 46'
70. Emeka Nnamani
10
← 46'
10. M. Soderback
7
← 76'
7. P. Abraham
17
← 80'
17. A. Boudri
9
9. V. Lind
26
← 74'
26. M. Madjed
8
8. Markus Karlsson
28
← 74'
28. F. Adjei
16
← 80'
16. N. Persson
3. Frederik Franck Winther
6
6. I. Fofana
2
2. Hampus Skoglund
1. Warner Hahn
Toni KoskelaCoachKalle Karlsson
Bench (7)
Bench (9)
Kalmar FFHammarby FF
2.2
Goals/game
1.9
0.9
Conceded/game
0.6

AI match analysis

Kalmar FF win
21.59%
Draw
24.97%
Hammarby FF win
53.44%
56.8%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
24.7%Kalmar FF clean sheet
24.7%Hammarby FF clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The recent head-to-head history heavily favors Hammarby FF, who have won 4 of the last 5 matchups against Kalmar FF. While Kalmar has a decent home record this season, their recent form of just 1 win in the last 5 matches points to struggles. Hammarby, sitting in a much stronger league position, also boasts an impressive scoring average, suggesting they could take advantage of any defensive lapses from the hosts.

  • Hammarby FF has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Kalmar FF
  • Kalmar FF has a recent home record of 5 wins out of 8 matches this season
  • Hammarby FF is in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches
  • Kalmar FF has conceded 1 goal per game on average over their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
90/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hammarby FF

  • Historical edgeHammarby FF

    Hammarby FF have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionHammarby FF

    Hammarby FF sit 11 places above Kalmar FF in the table.

    #2 vs #13
  • Strong home recordKalmar FF

    Kalmar FF have won 5 of their last 9 home matches.

    5/9 home wins
  • Weak away recordHammarby FF

    Hammarby FF have won 3 of their last 8 away matches.

    3/8 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Hammarby FF at 53.44% — final result was Hammarby FF win, Kalmar FF 0-4 Hammarby FF.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (90/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hammarby FF ✓1.77market 56.4% · model 53.44%
Draw3.68market 27.2% · model 24.97%
Kalmar FF4.14market 24.2% · model 21.59%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Kalmar FF have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Hammarby FF have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Kalmar FF wins
1Draws
5Hammarby FF wins
12-20Goals
Kalmar FF
1–4Aug 4, 2024, 2:30 PM
Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF
3–1Mar 31, 2024, 12:00 PM
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
0–0Aug 20, 2023, 3:30 PM
Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF
3–1Jul 16, 2023, 1:00 PM
Kalmar FF
Hammarby FF
4–2Oct 30, 2022, 4:30 PM
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
2–0May 8, 2022, 3:30 PM
Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF
5–3Dec 4, 2021, 2:00 PM
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
2–1May 23, 2021, 1:00 PM
Hammarby FF

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kalmar FF4.14▲best 4.43
Draw3.68▼best 3.83
Hammarby FF1.77▼best 1.85

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.68▲best 1.73
Under 2.52.11▼best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.61▲best 1.65
No2.17▼best 2.25

Double chance

Kalmar FF/Draw1.98▲best 2.07
Kalmar FF/Hammarby FF1.23▼best 1.26
Draw/Hammarby FF1.20▼best 1.25

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75▼best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40▲best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kalmar FF4.14▲ 0.10
Draw3.68▼ 0.06
Hammarby FF1.77
13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Kalmar FF win-0.8pp
AI
21.59%
Market
22.4%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
24.97%
Market
25.2%
Hammarby FF win+1.1pp
AI
53.44%
Market
52.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Kalmar FF
18549-719LLDW
2
Hammarby FF
181134+2736WWDW

Pre-match comparison

2.2Goals scored per game1.9
0.9Goals conceded per game0.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

G. Maqedonci

2.5Yellow cards / game
0.13Red cards / game
0.13Penalties scored / game

Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Kalmar FF

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
28.6%

Hammarby FF

0-15'
80%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF?+

Our AI model favors Hammarby FF to win, with a 53.44% probability (Draw 24.97%, Kalmar FF 21.59%).

Where is Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF played?+

The match is played at Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar (capacity 12,182).

What time does Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).