Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor

Süper Lig· Regular Season - 1
LWWWGoals 15-137th in league
LLWLGoals 9-174th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(1-1)
Away0W 1D 0L(1-1)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 10'Andri Baldursson
  2. 43'N. Saviolo (Metehan Mimaroğlu)
  3. 46'Fousseni Diabaté (Haris Hajradinović)
  4. 55'Adrian Benedyczak
  5. 58'Metehan Mimaroğlu (Mohamed Salah)
  6. 67'A. Simsir (Melih Kabasakal)
  7. 67'N. Saviolo (S. Lopes Cabral)
  8. 68'Mortadha Ben Ouanes
  9. 78'Mortadha Ben Ouanes (M. Rafferty)
  10. 82'Güven Yalçın (A. Karapo)
  11. 84'R. Malinovskyi (O. Tufan)
  12. 90+2'Adrian Benedyczak (S. Alkas)

Lineups

KasımpaşaTrabzonspor
1.5
Goals/game
0.9
1.3
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Kasımpaşa win
24%
Draw
26%
Trabzonspor win
50%
53.2%BTTS
50.6%Over 2.5
33.3%Kasımpaşa clean sheet
20.2%Trabzonspor clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The analysis indicates a competitive matchup with Trabzonspor historically performing well against Kasımpaşa, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters. Kasımpaşa has shown resilience at home with two recent victories, yet Trabzonspor's away strength, highlighted by their recent win at Beşiktaş, suggests they could edge this contest. The computed probabilities reflect a notable advantage for the away side based on recent form and head-to-head results.

  • Trabzonspor has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters.
  • Kasımpaşa has a stronger recent home performance, winning 2 out of 3 last home games.
  • Trabzonspor's overall away performance includes a recent win against Beşiktaş.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Trabzonspor

  • Good recent formKasımpaşa

    Kasımpaşa have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formTrabzonspor

    Trabzonspor have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Historical edgeTrabzonspor

    Trabzonspor have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackKasımpaşa

    Kasımpaşa are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Trabzonspor at 50% — final result was a draw, Kasımpaşa 1-1 Trabzonspor.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Trabzonspor1.83market 54.5% · model 50%
Draw3.68market 27.2% · model 26%
Kasımpaşa4.02market 24.9% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Kasımpaşa have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Trabzonspor have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Kasımpaşa wins
3Draws
3Trabzonspor wins
10-13Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kasımpaşa4.02best 4.30
Draw3.68best 3.86
Trabzonspor1.83best 1.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.77best 1.82
Under 2.52.03best 2.10

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.73
No2.07best 2.10

Double chance

Kasımpaşa/Draw1.94best 2.00
Kasımpaşa/Trabzonspor1.24best 1.29
Draw/Trabzonspor1.22best 1.26

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.69best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.16best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.88best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.41best 1.42

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kasımpaşa4.02 0.12
Draw3.68 0.06
Trabzonspor1.83 0.03
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Kasımpaşa win+0.7pp
AI
24%
Market
23.3%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
26%
Market
25.5%
Trabzonspor win-1.1pp
AI
50%
Market
51.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Kasımpaşa
2110+14WD
4
Trabzonspor
2110+14WD

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game0.9
1.3Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Kasımpaşa

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Trabzonspor

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
25%

Match statistics

41%Possession59%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.79
4Shots on target5
9Total shots13
4Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box8
4Shots outside the box5
3Corners10
0Offsides2
17Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
Red cards
4Goalkeeper saves3
334Total passes477
261Accurate passes408
78%Pass accuracy86%

Player ratings

Box score

Kasımpaşa

27M. IlieD · 90'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes22%
Tackles1
Duels25%
17.0
More stats
Shots3/5 on target
Passes8%
Tackles
Duels25%
2Claudio WinckD · 90'
6.0
More stats
Shots1/3 on target
Passes24%
Tackles1
Duels29%
🟨7.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes25%
Tackles6
Duels63%
50Güven YalçınM · 82'
6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes11%
Tackles2
Duels50%
1
1A. GianniotisG · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes15%
Tackles
Duels
🟨6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes19%
Tackles
Duels42%
4Adem ArousD · 90'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes26%
Tackles
Duels75%
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes14%
Tackles
Duels0%
5
5J. JessenD · 90'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes26%
Tackles4
Duels40%
51E. MendesM · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes41%
Tackles2
Duels44%
Bench (11)
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes20%
Tackles1
Duels75%
23Sinan AlkasF · 1'
45A. KarapoD · 8'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes6%
Tackles1
Duels100%
19M. RaffertyM · 12'
6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes4%
Tackles
Duels0%
23

Trabzonspor

58A. SimsirM · 67'
6.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes13%
Tackles
Duels20%
17R. MalinovskyiM · 84'
6.6
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes46%
Tackles2
Duels44%
24A. OnanaG · 90'
7.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes20%
Tackles
Duels100%
6.7
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes50%
Tackles
Duels40%
19
19M. EskihellacD · 90'
7.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes55%
Tackles1
Duels80%
🅰️ 17.2
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes16%
Tackles2
Duels75%
30
30P. OnuachuF · 90'
6.3
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes3%
Tackles1
Duels55%
20W. PinaD · 90'
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes42%
Tackles3
Duels70%
27Chibuike NwaiwuD · 90'
7.5
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes49%
Tackles3
Duels75%
8B. BouchouariM · 90'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes52%
Tackles2
Duels55%
70
70N. SavioloM · 67'
17.3
More stats
Shots2/2 on target
Passes12%
Tackles
Duels44%
Bench (10)
11
11O. TufanM · 13'
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes4%
Tackles
Duels0%
10Mohamed SalahF · 32'
6.7
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes11%
Tackles
Duels50%
57Melih KabasakalM · 23'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes18%
Tackles
Duels0%
55
55S. Lopes CabralD · 23'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes17%
Tackles
Duels0%

More Süper Lig predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?+

Our AI model favors Trabzonspor to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 26%, Kasımpaşa 24%).

What time does Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).