Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius

A Lyga· Regular Season - 27
DWLLGoals 12-123rd in league
LDLWGoals 11-122nd in league
Home6W 4D 3L(24-8)
Away6W 3D 4L(22-19)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'L. Kreković
  2. 42'E. Girdvainis
  3. 43'A. Karvatskyi
  4. 46'Renan Oliveira (F. Baldassarra)
  5. 48'S. Milošević
  6. 53'A. Benchaib
  7. 56'N. Iyobosa Edokpolor (Marko Konatar)
  8. 65'Y. Karashima (F. Cernych)
  9. 65'M. Burba (A. Kalik)
  10. 68'A. Traore (N. Akosah-Bempah)
  11. 71'N. Akosah-Bempah
  12. 78'Y. Glushach (C. Nwoga)
  13. 81'A. Benchaib (Leo Ribeiro)
  14. 88'Xabi Auzmendi (D. Sluta)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Kauno ŽalgirisTransINVEST Vilnius
1.2
Goals/game
1.1
1.2
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Kauno Žalgiris win
62%
Draw
22%
TransINVEST Vilnius win
16%
47.8%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
31.7%Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet
30.1%TransINVEST Vilnius clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests that Kauno Žalgiris is in a strong position, currently sitting first in the league and remaining unbeaten in their last five home matches. In contrast, TransINVEST Vilnius has struggled lately, losing three of their last five games and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match over their last ten. The historical performance favors the home side, having won three of their last four encounters against TransINVEST.

  • Kauno Žalgiris unbeaten in last 5 home league matches
  • TransINVEST Vilnius has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Recent head-to-head record shows Kauno Žalgiris has won 3 of the last 4 encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Kauno Žalgiris

  • Historical edgeKauno Žalgiris

    Kauno Žalgiris have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionTransINVEST Vilnius

    TransINVEST Vilnius sit 1 place above Kauno Žalgiris in the table.

    #2 vs #3
  • Sharper attackKauno Žalgiris

    Kauno Žalgiris are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game
  • Tighter defenseKauno Žalgiris

    Kauno Žalgiris are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Kauno Žalgiris at 62% — final result was a draw, Kauno Žalgiris 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Kauno Žalgiris1.47market 68% · model 62%
Draw3.95market 25.3% · model 22%
TransINVEST Vilnius5.46market 18.3% · model 16%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Kauno Žalgiris have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • TransINVEST Vilnius have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Kauno Žalgiris wins
0Draws
1TransINVEST Vilnius wins
9-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kauno Žalgiris1.47best 1.55
Draw3.95best 4.20
TransINVEST Vilnius5.46best 5.87

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.69best 1.74
Under 2.51.99best 2.08

Both teams to score

Yes1.78best 1.83
No1.86best 2.00

Double chance

Kauno Žalgiris/Draw1.09best 1.13
Kauno Žalgiris/TransINVEST Vilnius1.16best 1.22
Draw/TransINVEST Vilnius2.36best 2.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.00best 6.00

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kauno Žalgiris1.47 0.08
Draw3.95 0.20
TransINVEST Vilnius5.45 0.45
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Kauno Žalgiris win+1.1pp
AI
62%
Market
60.9%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
22%
Market
22.7%
TransINVEST Vilnius win-0.4pp
AI
16%
Market
16.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Kauno Žalgiris
221084+2538WWWD
2
TransINVEST Vilnius
251168+439DLWW

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.1
1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Kauno Žalgiris

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

TransINVEST Vilnius

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

More A Lyga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?+

Our AI model favors Kauno Žalgiris to win, with a 62% probability (Draw 22%, TransINVEST Vilnius 16%).

What time does Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).