KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom
KFUM Arena, Oslo · Capacity 3,300 · artificial turf · Referee: M. Grotta
Match events
- 22'Frederik Elkær
- 48'Vá (G. Nyheim)
- 50'G. Nyheim
- 56'Ylldren Ibrahimaj
- 58'Julian Bakkeli Gonstad (B. Kristensen)
- 64'Fredrik Gulbrandsen (L. Alperud)
- 65'Bilal Njie (David Hickson Gyedu)
- 65'D. Schneider (Momodou Lion Njie)
- 75'Yaw Paintsil (Eric Kitolano)
- 79'M. Vinjor (E. Saunes)
- 79'R. E. Vinge (I. Skovsgaard)
- 84'B. Kristensen (I. Skovsgaard)
- 84'Brage Skaret
- 87'Kevin Martin Krygard (G. Nordh)
- 87'G. Nyheim (Henrik Melland)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 2.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that while KFUM Oslo has struggled recently, Lillestrom has experienced a mixed form but remains competitive in their league standing. KFUM has a poor home form with only 4 wins in 9 matches this season, which may favor Lillestrom given their higher league position and more recent results. However, the historical head-to-head advantage for KFUM could indicate a closer contest than current form would suggest.
- KFUM Oslo has lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Lillestrom is currently ranked 4th and has shown recent improvement with 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Historically, KFUM Oslo won both of the last two encounters against Lillestrom.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lillestrom
- Higher league positionLillestrom
Lillestrom sit 7 places above KFUM Oslo in the table.
#5 vs #12 - Tighter defenseKFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded - Poor recent formKFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Poor recent formLillestrom
Lillestrom have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lillestrom at 40.86% — final result was a draw, KFUM Oslo 1-1 Lillestrom.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- KFUM Oslo have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Lillestrom have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 19 | WWLL |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | +2 | 26 | LLLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
More Eliteserien predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom?+
Our AI model favors Lillestrom to win, with a 40.86% probability (Draw 26.56%, KFUM Oslo 32.58%).
Where is KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom played?+
The match is played at KFUM Arena, Oslo (capacity 3,300).
What time does KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).