KIA Tigers vs Lotte Giants

KBO
LLWWRuns 71-423rd · 62-52
WLLLRuns 82-607th · 50-62
Home10W 10L(103-114)
Away5W 15L(118-116)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
KIA Tigers
1010020048120
Lotte Giants
0000500005110

AI match analysis

KIA Tigers win
55%
Lotte Giants win
45%

Predicted score: 6-5

Data suggests that the KIA Tigers are in a stronger position heading into this matchup, as they have a higher win rate at home and a more balanced offensive performance in recent games. The last few head-to-head encounters show that the Tigers have had the edge, winning 3 out of their last 5 meetings with Lotte. Overall, the numbers favor KIA to secure a victory.

  • KIA Tigers have a better home win rate at 45% compared to Lotte Giants' away win rate of 26%.
  • In their last 10 games, KIA averaged 5.9 runs scored per game, while Lotte averaged 7.1 runs but also allowed 5.3 runs per game.
  • Historically, KIA Tigers have won 3 out of their last 5 matchups against Lotte Giants.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
72/100

Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors KIA Tigers

  • Sharper attackLotte Giants

    Lotte Giants are averaging 8.2 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    8.2/game
  • Tighter defenseKIA Tigers

    KIA Tigers are conceding just 4.2 runs per game over their recent matches.

    4.2/game conceded
  • Historical edgeKIA Tigers

    KIA Tigers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionKIA Tigers

    KIA Tigers sit 4 places above Lotte Giants in the table.

    #3 vs #7

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked KIA Tigers at 55% — final result was KIA Tigers win, KIA Tigers 8-5 Lotte Giants.

Predicted score was 6-5.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

KIA Tigers1.79market 56% · model 55%
Lotte Giants1.96market 51% · model 45%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • KIA Tigers have averaged 7.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Lotte Giants have averaged 8.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • KIA Tigers are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Lotte Giants.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

KIA Tigers1.79best 1.86AI 55%
Lotte Giants1.96best 2.04AI 45%

Point spread

LineKIA TigersLotte Giants
-1.52.531.46
-12.111.60
-0.51.811.89
+0.51.732.00
+11.572.19
+1.51.502.50
+21.362.84
+2.51.323.13

Total points

LineOverUnder
7.51.462.63
81.522.37
8.51.662.11
91.801.90
9.52.001.76
102.161.62
10.52.331.54
112.601.41

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

KIA Tigers1.79 0.03
Lotte Giants1.96 0.04
25 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

KIA Tigers win+2.7pp
AI
55%
Market
52.3%
Lotte Giants win-2.7pp
AI
45%
Market
47.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3KIA Tigers wins
2Lotte Giants wins
28-27Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
KT Wiz Suwon
1116645+9260
2
Samsung Lions
1146747+14859
3
KIA Tigers
1146252+7954
4
LG Twins
1156352+255
5
Doosan Bears
1155956+3851
6
NC Dinos
1094960-3245
7
Lotte Giants
1125062-2845
8
Hanwha Eagles
1124963+1144
9
SSG Landers
1174869-10041
10
Kiwoom Heroes
1194277-21035

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win KIA Tigers vs Lotte Giants?+

Our AI model favors KIA Tigers to win, with a 55% probability (Lotte Giants 45%).

What time does KIA Tigers vs Lotte Giants start?+

First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in KIA Tigers vs Lotte Giants?+

KIA Tigers: 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 4. Lotte Giants: 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 8-5.