Kiwoom Heroes vs Samsung Lions

KBO
WLLLRuns 36-8210th · 42-77
WLWWRuns 79-382nd · 67-47
Home7W 12L(68-109)
Away10W 9L(123-97)

Value found

+11.6% edge

Kiwoom Heroes win

2.38AI fair odds
2.66Bookmaker odds
+11.6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Kiwoom Heroes
200000000273
Samsung Lions
50005000212121

AI match analysis

Kiwoom Heroes win
42%
Samsung Lions win
58%

Predicted score: 5-6

The numbers favor the Samsung Lions, who have been performing consistently well this season, bolstered by scoring an average of 6.9 runs while allowing just 4.7. On the other hand, the Kiwoom Heroes struggle defensively, particularly at home where they have a win rate of only 42%. Given this context, a close game is expected with a narrow edge based on current form and head-to-head history.

  • Samsung Lions rank 2nd in the league with a 0.580 win percentage and a strong recent form of 7 wins in their last 10 games.
  • Kiwoom Heroes have a weak record of 3-7 in their last 10 games and have allowed an average of 6.8 runs per game during this stretch.
  • Historically, in their last 5 matchups, the teams are tied at 3-3, but the Lions have often outscored the Heroes.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
74/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Samsung Lions

  • Sharper attackSamsung Lions

    Samsung Lions are averaging 7.9 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    7.9/game
  • Tighter defenseSamsung Lions

    Samsung Lions are conceding just 3.8 runs per game over their recent matches.

    3.8/game conceded
  • Higher league positionSamsung Lions

    Samsung Lions sit 8 places above Kiwoom Heroes in the table.

    #2 vs #10
  • Historical edgeSamsung Lions

    Samsung Lions have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    5/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Samsung Lions at 58% — final result was Samsung Lions win, Kiwoom Heroes 2-12 Samsung Lions.

Predicted score was 5-6.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Samsung Lions1.44market 69.3% · model 58%
Kiwoom Heroes2.66market 37.6% · model 42%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Kiwoom Heroes have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Samsung Lions have averaged 7.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kiwoom Heroes are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Samsung Lions.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Kiwoom Heroes2.66best 2.76AI 42%
Samsung Lions1.44best 1.51AI 58%

Point spread

LineKiwoom HeroesSamsung Lions
-0.52.701.41
+0.52.551.47
+12.281.53
+1.52.001.75
+21.831.87
+2.51.652.11
+31.542.28
+3.51.392.86

Total points

LineOverUnder
71.372.83
7.51.532.38
81.612.17
8.51.761.99
91.911.79
9.52.111.65
102.361.52
10.52.621.44

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Kiwoom Heroes2.66
Samsung Lions1.44
26 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Kiwoom Heroes win+6.8pp
AI
42%
Market
35.2%
Samsung Lions win-6.8pp
AI
58%
Market
64.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Kiwoom Heroes wins
5Samsung Lions wins
13-42Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
KT Wiz Suwon
1116645+9260
2
Samsung Lions
1146747+14859
3
KIA Tigers
1146252+7954
4
LG Twins
1156352+255
5
Doosan Bears
1155956+3851
6
NC Dinos
1094960-3245
7
Lotte Giants
1125062-2845
8
Hanwha Eagles
1124963+1144
9
SSG Landers
1174869-10041
10
Kiwoom Heroes
1194277-21035

More KBO predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Kiwoom Heroes vs Samsung Lions?+

Our AI model favors Samsung Lions to win, with a 58% probability (Kiwoom Heroes 42%).

What time does Kiwoom Heroes vs Samsung Lions start?+

First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Kiwoom Heroes vs Samsung Lions?+

Kiwoom Heroes: 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Samsung Lions: 5, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 2. Final: 2-12.