Kocaelispor vs Amed — Süper Lig

Süper Lig· Regular Season - 2

Kocaelispor

2–0Full-time

Amed

LLDLLLGoals 4-1511th in league

WGoals 3-09th in league

Home1W 0D 0L(2-0)

Away0W 0D 1L(0-2)

Match events

17'Berkan Kutlu (A. Dijksteel)
46'M. Yesil (Umut Meraş)
60'Mahamadou Susoho (Uğur Kaan Yıldız)
68'Cem Üstündag (G. Gul)
68'Samuel Ballet (Mbaye Diagne)
70'G. Sousa (Matej Maglica)
80'Rayan Raveloson (R. Lutin)
85'D. Agyei (Metehan Altunbaş)
85'Berkan Kutlu (E. Bilim)
86'D. Seba (Furkan Soyalp)
86'L. Dellova
86'A. Lafont
87'Matej Maglica (Uğur Kaan Yıldız)

Lineups

Kocaelispor

Amed

4-3-34-2-3-1

Selcuk InanCoach

Besnik Hasi

AI match analysis

Kocaelispor win

41.87%

Draw

29.76%

Amed win

28.37%

16.2%BTTS

44.3%Over 2.5

10.5%Kocaelispor clean sheet

81.9%Amed clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Amed comes into this match with a strong recent form, having won their last game convincingly. In contrast, Kocaelispor is struggling, with a string of losses and a low scoring rate. The numbers favor Amed, especially as Kocaelispor has not yet managed to gain points in this season.

Amed won their last match 3-0, showing strong attacking form.
Kocaelispor has lost their last 5 matches and has a low scoring average of 0.4 goals per game.
Kocaelispor is currently at the bottom of the league standings with 0 points.
Amed stands 8th in the league, indicating a better start to the season.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

70/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Kocaelispor

Poor recent formKocaelispor
Kocaelispor have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Strong recent formAmed
Amed are unbeaten in their last 1 matches, including 1 win.
1W 0D 0L
Sharper attackAmed
Amed are averaging 3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
3/game
Tighter defenseAmed
Amed are conceding just 0 goals per game over their recent matches.
0/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Amed has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Kocaelispor at 41.87% — final result was Kocaelispor win, Kocaelispor 2-0 Amed.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Kocaelispor ✓2.31market 43.4% · model 41.87%

Amed3.13market 32% · model 28.37%

Draw3.16market 31.6% · model 29.76%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Kocaelispor have averaged 0.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Amed have averaged 3 goals scored per game over their last 1 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kocaelispor2.31▲best 2.42

Draw3.16▼best 3.35

Amed3.13▼best 3.29

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.19▲best 2.29

Under 2.51.66▼best 1.70

Both teams to score

Yes1.86▲best 1.93

No1.85▼best 1.95

Double chance

Kocaelispor/Draw1.34▲best 1.42

Kocaelispor/Amed1.32▲best 1.37

Draw/Amed1.60▼best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.29▲best 1.30

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.38▼best 3.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.63▼best 2.65

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.43▲best 1.44

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kocaelispor2.30▲ 0.13

Draw3.16▼ 0.17

Amed3.13▼ 0.04

21 Aug – 24 Aug

Model vs market

Kocaelispor win+1.3pp

AI

41.87%

Market

40.6%

Draw+0.2pp

AI

29.76%

Market

29.6%

Amed win-1.5pp

AI

28.37%

Market

29.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.