Kortrijk vs Charleroi — Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League· Regular Season - 4

Kortrijk

1–3Full-time

Charleroi

WWWDDLGoals 17-1317th in league

DWWWWWGoals 15-41st in league

Home0W 0D 2L(1-6)

Away2W 0D 0L(4-1)

Match events

34'Aurelien Scheidler (Kevin Van Den Kerkhof)
38'Antoine Bernier
41'Shandre Campbell (Thierry Ambrose)
53'Antoine Bernier (Freddy Mbemba)
59'Ken Masui (Jellert Van Landschoot)
63'Patrick Pflücke (Antoine Colassin)
63'Amine Boukamir (Isaac Cisse)
65'Rudy Kohon
66'Cheick Keita (Jakob Napoleon Romsaas)
72'Goduine Koyalipou (Bryan Adinany)
72'Boris Lambert
82'Shandre Campbell (Suf·Podgoreanu)
82'Nayel Mehssatou (Harrison Murray-Campbell)
86'Aurelien Scheidler (Adama Bojang)
86'Yassine Khalifi (Noah Solheid)
90'Antoine Colassin (Adama Bojang)

Lineups

Kortrijk

Charleroi

3-4-2-14-2-3-1

Bench (8)

Bench (6)

AI match analysis

Kortrijk win

24.62%

Draw

25.88%

Charleroi win

49.5%

49%BTTS

44.3%Over 2.5

24.7%Kortrijk clean sheet

35%Charleroi clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers suggest a distinct advantage for Charleroi going into this match, having won their last three fixtures, while Kortrijk remains without points after two matches this season. Historically, Charleroi has also dominated recent encounters, winning four of the last five head-to-heads. Given these trends, the prediction leans towards Charleroi achieving a favorable outcome.

Charleroi in strong recent form with three consecutive wins
Kortrijk has yet to secure any points this season and has a poor goal differential
Charleroi has a solid away record and has scored an average of 1.5 goals while conceding only 0.4 per game

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Charleroi

Weak home recordKortrijk
Kortrijk have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.
0/2 home wins
Strong away recordCharleroi
Charleroi have won 2 of their last 2 away matches.
2/2 away wins
Higher league positionCharleroi
Charleroi sit 16 places above Kortrijk in the table.
#1 vs #17
Strong recent formCharleroi
Charleroi are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Charleroi at 49.5% — final result was Charleroi win, Kortrijk 1-3 Charleroi.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Charleroi ✓1.94market 51.5% · model 49.5%

Draw3.49market 28.7% · model 25.88%

Kortrijk3.69market 27.1% · model 24.62%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Kortrijk have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Charleroi have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Kortrijk wins

1Draws

6Charleroi wins

5-11Goals

Kortrijk

0–1Dec 26, 2024, 3:00 PM

Charleroi

1–0Aug 25, 2024, 5:15 PM

Kortrijk

Charleroi

3–1May 11, 2024, 4:15 PM

Kortrijk

1–2Apr 14, 2024, 2:00 PM

Charleroi

Kortrijk

1–0Feb 3, 2024, 5:15 PM

Charleroi

1–0Sep 23, 2023, 2:00 PM

Kortrijk

0–1Mar 4, 2023, 3:00 PM

Charleroi

2–2Oct 18, 2022, 4:30 PM

Kortrijk

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kortrijk3.69▲best 3.92

Draw3.49▼best 3.73

Charleroi1.94▼best 2.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.81▼best 1.88

Under 2.51.98best 2.05

Both teams to score

Yes1.67best 1.71

No2.09best 2.12

Double chance

Kortrijk/Draw1.81best 1.85

Kortrijk/Charleroi1.27▼best 1.30

Draw/Charleroi1.25▼best 1.29

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.00▲best 5.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.17▼best 1.17

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kortrijk3.69▼ 0.49

Draw3.49▼ 0.11

Charleroi1.94▲ 0.08

26 Aug – 29 Aug

Model vs market

Kortrijk win-0.6pp

AI

24.62%

Market

25.2%

Draw-0.8pp

AI

25.88%

Market

26.7%

Charleroi win+1.5pp

AI

49.5%

Market

48%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.