Krieschow vs FSV Mainz 05

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
Krieschow
09Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
LLGoals 1-4
WDWWGoals 17-16
Sportpark Krieschow

Sportpark Krieschow, Kolkwitz · Capacity 1,000 · grass · Referee: L. Kernchen

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'Phillip Tietz (Phillipp Mwene)
  2. 24'Sheraldo Becker
  3. 26'Phillip Tietz (Anthony Caci)
  4. 32'Phillip Tietz (Phillipp Mwene)
  5. 39'Nadiem Amiri (Jae-Sung Lee)
  6. 43'Sheraldo Becker (Nadiem Amiri)
  7. 46'Substitution 1
  8. 48'Nadiem Amiri
  9. 57'Phillip Tietz (Nadiem Amiri)
  10. 62'Jae-Sung Lee (O. Ruoppi)
  11. 62'Sheraldo Becker (R. Konigsdorffer)
  12. 62'Danny da Costa (K. Potulski)
  13. 64'A. Bittroff
  14. 64'A. Hebler (A. Stephan)
  15. 73'R. Konigsdorffer (Dominik Kohr)
  16. 74'Nadiem Amiri (Silvan Widmer)
  17. 74'Phillip Tietz (William Bøving)
  18. 77'Substitution 4
  19. 83'P. Pahlow
  20. 88'William Bøving (O. Ruoppi)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
KrieschowFSV Mainz 05
0.5
Goals/game
1.7
2.0
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Krieschow win
10%
Draw
25%
FSV Mainz 05 win
65%
54.8%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
15.7%Krieschow clean sheet
35%FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet

Predicted score: 0-2

Data suggests that Krieschow is struggling with a recent form of two consecutive losses and a low scoring average, having scored only 1 goal in their last 2 outings. Conversely, Mainz 05 is performing well, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and consistently scoring in their games, which favors them strongly in this matchup.

  • Krieschow lost last 2 matches without scoring more than 1 goal
  • Mainz 05 has won 4 of their last 5 matches
  • FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
70/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FSV Mainz 05

  • Poor recent formKrieschow

    Krieschow have lost 2 of their last 2 matches.

    0W 0D 2L
  • Strong recent formFSV Mainz 05

    FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Sharper attackFSV Mainz 05

    FSV Mainz 05 are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defenseFSV Mainz 05

    FSV Mainz 05 are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Krieschow has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FSV Mainz 05 at 65% — final result was FSV Mainz 05 win, Krieschow 0-9 FSV Mainz 05.

Predicted score was 0-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Match trends

  • Krieschow have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
  • FSV Mainz 05 have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds not available for this match yet.
Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.5Goals scored per game1.7
2Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

FSV Mainz 05

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Krieschow vs FSV Mainz 05?+

Our AI model favors FSV Mainz 05 to win, with a 65% probability (Draw 25%, Krieschow 10%).

Where is Krieschow vs FSV Mainz 05 played?+

The match is played at Sportpark Krieschow, Kolkwitz (capacity 1,000).

What time does Krieschow vs FSV Mainz 05 kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).