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Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Premier League· Regular Season - 4
Krylia Sovetov
1–4Full-time
Dinamo Makhachkala
WLLWGoals 15-1012th in league
WLDLGoals 9-115th in league
Home0W 0D 2L(1-6)
Away2W 0D 1L(7-5)

Value found

+2.9% edge

Dinamo Makhachkala win

3.23AI fair odds
3.32Bookmaker odds
+2.9%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'A. Alarcon
  2. 9'Mutalip Alibekov
  3. 16'K. Pechenin
  4. 22'N. Glushkov
  5. 28'I. Oleynikov
  6. 46'E. Smelov (G. Agalarov)
  7. 51'D. Oroz
  8. 62'A. Rahmanović (C. Geoffrey)
  9. 62'S. Babkin (Y. Gorshkov)
  10. 67'Miro (D. Lesovoy)
  11. 72'M. Kramarič (Dani Fernández)
  12. 72'Nikolay Rasskazov (Denis Makarov)
  13. 77'D. Lesovoy
  14. 78'D. Oroz (M. Banjac)
  15. 82'D. Lesovoy
  16. 85'C. Geoffrey
  17. 85'Mohamed Azzi (A. Sandrachuk)
  18. 86'G. Agalarov
  19. 90'Fernando Costanza

Lineups

Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
30
30. S. Pesjakov
2
2. K. Pechenin
47
47. S. Bozhin
5
← 78'
5. D. Oroz
22. Fernando Costanza
8
8. M. Vityugov
6
← 62'
6. S. Babkin
19
19. I. Oleynikov
10
← 72'
10. M. Kramarič
← 72'
15. Nikolay Rasskazov
11
← 62'
11. A. Rahmanović
11
← 67'
11. Miro
77
77. T. Sundukov
52
← 46'
52. E. Smelov
47
47. N. Glushkov
6
6. M. Apshatsev
16
16. H. Mrezigue
43
43. I. Akhmedov
99
99. Mutalip Alibekov
24
24. A. Alarcon
22
← 85'
22. Mohamed Azzi
39
39. Timur Magomedov
Sergey BulatovCoachVadim Evseev
Bench (12)
Bench (9)
Krylia SovetovDinamo Makhachkala
1.5
Goals/game
0.9
1.0
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Krylia Sovetov win
39%
Draw
30%
Dinamo Makhachkala win
31%
44.6%BTTS
39.1%Over 2.5
38.7%Krylia Sovetov clean sheet
27.3%Dinamo Makhachkala clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive match between Krylia Sovetov and Dinamo Makhachkala, with both teams showing inconsistency. Krylia Sovetov has struggled with only 2 points from their last 3 matches, while Dinamo Makhachkala appears more solid, ranked 6th. The historical head-to-head results indicate that the teams often finish closely matched, supporting the likelihood of a draw.

  • Krylia Sovetov rank 14 in the league standings, with only 2 points from 3 matches.
  • Dinamo Makhachkala currently sitting in 6th place, showing stronger recent form with 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
  • Historically, the last five meetings have ended evenly with no clear dominance from either side.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
73/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Krylia Sovetov

  • Weak home recordKrylia Sovetov

    Krylia Sovetov have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.

    0/2 home wins
  • Strong away recordDinamo Makhachkala

    Dinamo Makhachkala have won 2 of their last 3 away matches.

    2/3 away wins
  • Higher league positionDinamo Makhachkala

    Dinamo Makhachkala sit 7 places above Krylia Sovetov in the table.

    #5 vs #12
  • Sharper attackKrylia Sovetov

    Krylia Sovetov are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Krylia Sovetov at 39% — final result was Dinamo Makhachkala win, Krylia Sovetov 1-4 Dinamo Makhachkala.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Krylia Sovetov2.34market 42.7% · model 39%
Draw3.12market 32% · model 30%
Dinamo Makhachkala ✓3.32market 30.1% · model 31%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Krylia Sovetov have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dinamo Makhachkala have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Krylia Sovetov wins
1Draws
4Dinamo Makhachkala wins
5-11Goals
Krylia Sovetov
2–0Mar 8, 2026, 11:30 AM
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
2–0Nov 1, 2025, 2:45 PM
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
4–0Mar 15, 2025, 2:00 PM
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
3–3Oct 2, 2024, 4:00 PM
Dinamo Makhachkala
Krylia Sovetov
0–1Sep 1, 2024, 2:30 PM
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0Aug 1, 2024, 4:30 PM
Krylia Sovetov

Odds comparison

Match winner

Krylia Sovetov2.34▼best 2.40
Draw3.12▼best 3.24
Dinamo Makhachkala3.32▲best 3.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.31▲best 2.38
Under 2.51.62▼best 1.70

Both teams to score

Yes1.92▲best 1.92
No1.79▼best 1.80

Double chance

Krylia Sovetov/Draw1.32▼best 1.35
Krylia Sovetov/Dinamo Makhachkala1.35▼best 1.39
Draw/Dinamo Makhachkala1.64▲best 1.66

Average and best price across 5 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Krylia Sovetov2.34▼ 0.15
Draw3.12▲ 0.04
Dinamo Makhachkala3.32▲ 0.31
13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Krylia Sovetov win-1.7pp
AI
39%
Market
40.7%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
30%
Market
30.5%
Dinamo Makhachkala win+2.3pp
AI
31%
Market
28.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
Krylia Sovetov
5122-25LLDD
5
Dinamo Makhachkala
5302+29WLWW

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game0.9
1Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Krylia Sovetov

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

Dinamo Makhachkala

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?+

Our AI model favors Krylia Sovetov to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 30%, Dinamo Makhachkala 31%).

What time does Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).