Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit

Cup· Group Stage - 2
Krylia Sovetov
00After Penalties
Zenit
WLLWGoals 16-14
WLWLGoals 14-7
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 49'D. Oroz
  2. 59'A. Mostovoy (Jhon Jhon)
  3. 59'Vyacheslav Karavaev (Roman Vega)
  4. 61'Denis Makarov (K. Pechenin)
  5. 62'K. Stolbov (M. Vityugov)
  6. 62'C. Geoffrey (A. Rahmanović)
  7. 62'Dani Fernández (Fernando Costanza)
  8. 75'Aleksandr Erokhin (Gustavo Mantuan)
  9. 78'V. Shitov (I. Oleynikov)
  10. 86'Roman Vega
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Krylia SovetovZenit
1.6
Goals/game
1.4
1.4
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Krylia Sovetov win
14%
Draw
20%
Zenit win
66%
51.5%BTTS
46.9%Over 2.5
24.7%Krylia Sovetov clean sheet
31.7%Zenit clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Zenit is in stronger form, having scored an average of 1.4 goals while conceding just 0.5 in their last 10 matches. In contrast, Krylia Sovetov has struggled defensively, with a high concession rate in their recent games. Historically, Zenit has had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, which further supports their favorable outlook in this fixture.

  • Zenit unbeaten in last 4 away matches
  • Krylia Sovetov conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game in last 10 matches
  • Recent head-to-head favors Zenit, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Zenit

  • Tighter defenseZenit

    Zenit are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Poor recent formKrylia Sovetov

    Krylia Sovetov have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formZenit

    Zenit have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Historical edgeZenit

    Zenit have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Zenit at 66% — final result was a draw, Krylia Sovetov 0-0 Zenit.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Zenit1.43market 69.7% · model 66%
Draw4.57market 21.9% · model 20%
Krylia Sovetov6.51market 15.4% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Krylia Sovetov have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Zenit have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Krylia Sovetov wins
2Draws
5Zenit wins
7-15Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Krylia Sovetov6.51best 7.10
Draw4.57best 4.80
Zenit1.43best 1.46

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.66best 1.69
Under 2.52.19best 2.21

Both teams to score

Yes1.85best 1.87
No1.86best 1.88

Double chance

Krylia Sovetov/Draw2.71best 2.88
Krylia Sovetov/Zenit1.18best 1.21
Draw/Zenit1.10best 1.12

Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Krylia Sovetov6.51 1.99
Draw4.57 0.48
Zenit1.43 0.05
16 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

Krylia Sovetov win-0.4pp
AI
14%
Market
14.4%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
20%
Market
20.5%
Zenit win+0.8pp
AI
66%
Market
65.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Krylia Sovetov

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Zenit

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit?+

Our AI model favors Zenit to win, with a 66% probability (Draw 20%, Krylia Sovetov 14%).

What time does Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 1:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).