KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
KuPS
10Full-time
Shamrock Rovers
LWDLGoals 17-13
LLLDGoals 11-17
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 29'J. O'Sullivan
  2. 59'J. Luyeye-Lutumba (G. Engvall)
  3. 63'J. Afolabi (Graham Burke)
  4. 63'J. O'Sullivan (J. Byrne)
  5. 65'M. Healy
  6. 69'S. Savolainen (A. Puukko)
  7. 69'V. R. Gasc (S. Touray)
  8. 73'R. Lopes
  9. 75'T. Jyry
  10. 75'R. Lopes
  11. 82'A. Greene (M. Noonan)
  12. 82'D. Watts (A. Brennan)
  13. 87'B. Magassa
  14. 88'P. Parzyszek (J. J. Moreno Ciorciari)
  15. 90+3'E. McGinty

Lineups

KuPSShamrock Rovers
1.7
Goals/game
1.1
1.3
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

KuPS win
46%
Draw
29%
Shamrock Rovers win
25%
57.1%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
30.1%KuPS clean sheet
18.3%Shamrock Rovers clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a closely contested matchup, as reflected in their recent head-to-head where KuPS and Shamrock Rovers drew 1-1. Both teams exhibit vulnerabilities in defense, with KuPS conceding slightly more than they score on average, while Shamrock Rovers’ recent form has seen them struggle defensively, losing four of their last five matches. The numbers favor a draw, but KuPS may have the edge based on their recent unbeaten streak against Shamrock.

  • KuPS unbeaten in last 5 matches against Shamrock Rovers
  • Shamrock Rovers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • KuPS averages 1.7 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
  • Shamrock Rovers averages 1.1 goals scored but concedes 1.7 goals per game
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors KuPS

  • Sharper attackKuPS

    KuPS are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Poor recent formShamrock Rovers

    Shamrock Rovers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Tighter defenseKuPS

    KuPS are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked KuPS at 46% — final result was KuPS win, KuPS 1-0 Shamrock Rovers.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

KuPS2.06market 48.5% · model 46%
Draw3.18market 31.4% · model 29%
Shamrock Rovers3.57market 28% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • KuPS have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Shamrock Rovers have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0KuPS wins
1Draws
0Shamrock Rovers wins
1-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

KuPS2.06best 2.19
Draw3.18best 3.30
Shamrock Rovers3.57best 3.85

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.12best 2.23
Under 2.51.68best 1.75

Both teams to score

Yes1.85best 1.96
No1.84best 1.91

Double chance

KuPS/Draw1.24best 1.30
KuPS/Shamrock Rovers1.30best 1.35
Draw/Shamrock Rovers1.73best 1.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

KuPS2.06
Draw3.18 0.33
Shamrock Rovers3.57 0.27
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

KuPS win+1.1pp
AI
46%
Market
44.9%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
29%
Market
29.1%
Shamrock Rovers win-0.9pp
AI
25%
Market
25.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

KuPS

0-15'
42.9%
16-30'
28.6%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
14.3%

Shamrock Rovers

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
60%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?+

Our AI model favors KuPS to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 29%, Shamrock Rovers 25%).

What time does KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).