Kuressaare vs Vaprus
Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare · Capacity 1,600 · grass
Match events
- 24'Sander Kapper (jakob sten viidas)
- 41'Matthias limberg
- 41'Marco Lukka
- 45+1'Jevgeni Demidov
- 46'jakob sten viidas (Joosep poder)
- 51'aston visse
- 52'Jevgeni Demidov
- 64'aston visse (Andero Kivi)
- 74'Matthias limberg (Henri Välja)
- 81'Jevgeni Demidov (Aleksander Svedovski)
- 81'Substitution 3 (rando tarkmeel)
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that Kuressaare has shown improved performance recently, winning three of their last five matches, while Vaprus has struggled, with four losses in their last five games. Historically, Kuressaare has a favorable head-to-head record against Vaprus, having won three of their last five encounters. The numbers indicate a competitive match, but Kuressaare's current form gives them a statistical edge.
- Kuressaare has won 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Vaprus has lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Historically, Kuressaare has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Vaprus.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Kuressaare
- Good recent formKuressaare
Kuressaare have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formVaprus
Vaprus have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackKuressaare
Kuressaare are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Tighter defenseKuressaare
Kuressaare are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Kuressaare at 42.62% — final result was a draw, Kuressaare 2-2 Vaprus.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kuressaare have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Vaprus have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Vaprus
KuressaareKuressaareVaprusVaprusKuressaareKuressaareVaprusVaprusKuressaareKuressaareVaprusKuressaareVaprusVaprusKuressaareOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kuressaare | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -14 | 25 | LWWL |
| 7 | Vaprus | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 28 | LLDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Kuressaare
Vaprus
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TammekaFlora TallinnTammekaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kuressaare vs Vaprus?+
Our AI model favors Kuressaare to win, with a 42.62% probability (Draw 26.62%, Vaprus 30.76%).
Where is Kuressaare vs Vaprus played?+
The match is played at Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare (capacity 1,600).
What time does Kuressaare vs Vaprus kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).