Lahti vs KuPS

Veikkausliiga· Regular Season - 20
Lahti
12Full-time
KuPS
LWDWGoals 9-138th in league
LDLWGoals 16-121st in league
Home5W 3D 3L(17-10)
Away6W 3D 1L(17-8)
Lahden Stadion

Lahden Stadion, Lahti · Capacity 14,465 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 2'O. Koskinen (M. Sarr)
  2. 11'T. Jyry (Bob Nii Armah)
  3. 17'J. Luyeye-Lutumba (Bob Nii Armah)
  4. 51'J. Muller
  5. 66'Bob Nii Armah (S. Touray)
  6. 66'Clinton Antwi (G. Engvall)
  7. 69'O. Koskinen (D. Heikkinen)
  8. 69'J. Muller (V. Vehkonen)
  9. 69'Martim Augusto (A. Belabid)
  10. 70'P. Parzyszek (J. J. Moreno Ciorciari)
  11. 72'T. Jyry (Petteri Pennanen)
  12. 72'V. R. Gasc
  13. 81'Romain Sans
  14. 82'Romaric Yapi (J. Ojanen)
  15. 82'Neemias (A. Lindholm)
  16. 87'S. Heiskanen (B. Magassa)

Lineups

LahtiKuPS
0.9
Goals/game
1.6
1.3
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Lahti win
33.59%
Draw
27.56%
KuPS win
38.85%
49.8%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
23.5%Lahti clean sheet
35%KuPS clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The statistical analysis suggests that KuPS, positioned at the top of the league, is likely to continue its strong form against Lahti, who are currently in the relegation group. Lahti's defensive vulnerabilities are evident, as they concede an average of 1.2 goals per game, while KuPS boasts a powerful attack with an average of 2 goals scored per game recently. Historical head-to-head results further favor KuPS, indicating they may secure a win in this matchup.

  • KuPS ranked 1st in the league, indicating strong form and performance overall.
  • Lahti has struggled defensively, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per game in their last 10 matches.
  • Historically, KuPS has dominated this matchup, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors KuPS

  • Historical edgeKuPS

    KuPS have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    7/8 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackKuPS

    KuPS are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game
  • Higher league positionKuPS

    KuPS sit 7 places above Lahti in the table.

    #1 vs #8
  • Strong home recordLahti

    Lahti have won 5 of their last 11 home matches.

    5/11 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked KuPS at 38.85% — final result was KuPS win, Lahti 1-2 KuPS.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

KuPS2.49market 40.1% · model 38.85%
Lahti2.63market 38% · model 33.59%
Draw3.32market 30.1% · model 27.56%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Lahti have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • KuPS have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Lahti wins
1Draws
7KuPS wins
7-19Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Lahti2.63best 2.88
Draw3.32best 3.51
KuPS2.49best 2.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.86best 1.94
Under 2.51.89best 1.94

Both teams to score

Yes1.66best 1.70
No2.09best 2.20

Double chance

Lahti/Draw1.47best 1.53
Lahti/KuPS1.28best 1.31
Draw/KuPS1.44best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28best 1.28

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Lahti2.63 0.13
Draw3.32 0.08
KuPS2.49 0.01
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Lahti win-1.5pp
AI
33.59%
Market
35.1%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
27.56%
Market
27.8%
KuPS win+1.8pp
AI
38.85%
Market
37.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Lahti
21858+629LDWL
1
KuPS
211272+1643WDWW

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.6
1.3Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Lahti

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

KuPS

0-15'
40%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
20%

More Veikkausliiga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Lahti vs KuPS?+

Our AI model favors KuPS to win, with a 38.85% probability (Draw 27.56%, Lahti 33.59%).

Where is Lahti vs KuPS played?+

The match is played at Lahden Stadion, Lahti (capacity 14,465).

What time does Lahti vs KuPS kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).