Lanus vs Argentinos JRS

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 6
Lanus
11Full-time
Argentinos JRS
WLWLGoals 14-106th in league
WLWLGoals 14-111st in league
Home3W 4D 1L(9-5)
Away2W 1D 1L(5-5)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 59'F. N. Watson (Y. Valois)
  2. 62'D. Porcel (A. Alcaraz)
  3. 70'H. Lopez (M. Gimenez)
  4. 70'Tomás Molina (G. Veron)
  5. 70'F. Pena Biafore (C. Izquierdoz)
  6. 72'A. Wlk (Matías Sepúlveda)
  7. 72'D. Aquino (L. Besozzi)
  8. 74'G. Veron (N. Oroz)
  9. 75'Gonzalo Pérez
  10. 84'A. Lescano (E. Viveros)
  11. 84'N. Oroz (G. Florentin)
  12. 87'Gonzalo Pérez (A. Medina)
  13. 87'Eduardo Salvio (T. Laplace)

Lineups

LanusArgentinos JRS
1.4
Goals/game
1.4
1.0
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Lanus win
36%
Draw
33%
Argentinos JRS win
31%
49.9%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
30.1%Lanus clean sheet
28.7%Argentinos JRS clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup with both teams showing mixed recent performances. Historically, Argentinos JRS has had the upper hand in their last five meetings against Lanus, winning three times and drawing once. Given Lanus's inconsistent home form and Argentinos JRS's stronger away performance, a tight match with potential for a draw seems plausible.

  • Argentinos JRS has won the last 3 encounters against Lanus.
  • Lanus has struggled recently with 2 losses in their last 3 home matches.
  • Argentinos JRS is in better recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lanus

  • Weak home recordLanus

    Lanus have won 3 of their last 8 home matches.

    3/8 home wins
  • Strong away recordArgentinos JRS

    Argentinos JRS have won 2 of their last 4 away matches.

    2/4 away wins
  • Historical edgeArgentinos JRS

    Argentinos JRS have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionArgentinos JRS

    Argentinos JRS sit 5 places above Lanus in the table.

    #1 vs #6

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Lanus at 36% — final result was a draw, Lanus 1-1 Argentinos JRS.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Lanus2.52market 39.7% · model 36%
Draw2.91market 34.3% · model 33%
Argentinos JRS3.06market 32.7% · model 31%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Lanus have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Argentinos JRS have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Lanus wins
2Draws
4Argentinos JRS wins
5-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Lanus2.52best 2.70
Draw2.91best 3.00
Argentinos JRS3.06best 3.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.68best 2.85
Under 2.51.44best 1.50

Both teams to score

Yes2.13best 2.20
No1.64best 1.70

Double chance

Lanus/Draw1.35best 1.40
Lanus/Argentinos JRS1.38best 1.40
Draw/Argentinos JRS1.50best 1.53

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.52best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.39best 2.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Lanus2.52 0.18
Draw2.91 0.06
Argentinos JRS3.06 0.21
22 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Lanus win-1.2pp
AI
36%
Market
37.2%
Draw+0.8pp
AI
33%
Market
32.2%
Argentinos JRS win+0.4pp
AI
31%
Market
30.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Lanus
16664+324LWLL
1
Argentinos JRS
6411+413LWWW

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.4
1Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Zunino

0Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Lanus

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
60%

Argentinos JRS

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Lanus vs Argentinos JRS?+

Our AI model favors Lanus to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 33%, Argentinos JRS 31%).

What time does Lanus vs Argentinos JRS kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 12:15 AM (your local time, based on your device).