Las Palmas vs Albacete — Segunda División

Segunda División· Regular Season - 1

Las Palmas

2–1Full-time

Albacete

WWLDWWGoals 16-131st in league

LWWLDLGoals 15-1320th in league

Home1W 0D 0L(2-1)

Away0W 0D 1L(1-2)

Match events

13'Marvin Park (G. Bonfanti)
18'Sergio Ortuño
21'Jesé Rodríguez (Taisei Miyashiro)
24'Kirian Rodríguez
30'Victor San Bartolome
30'V. San Bartolome
53'Samuel Obeng (T. Ingles)
60'Jesé Rodríguez (R. Cruz)
60'Sergio Ruiz Alonso (Enzo Loiodice)
71'Carlos Neva (D. Bernabeu)
71'Jesús Vallejo (Rober González)
79'Fran Gámez (Lorenzo Aguado)
79'A. Rubio (Mario Soberón)
85'V. San Bartolome
86'J. Betancor (Sandro Ramírez)
87'Manuel Fuster (E. Romero)
90+3'Sandro Ramírez (E. Romero)

Lineups

Las Palmas

Albacete

4-2-3-1

3-5-2

Ruben de la BarreraCoach

Alberto Gonzalez

AI match analysis

Las Palmas win

53%

Draw

27%

Albacete win

20%

57.7%BTTS

54.2%Over 2.5

24.7%Las Palmas clean sheet

23.5%Albacete clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Las Palmas, despite being early in the season, has shown stronger performance in their last five matches, with three wins. Albacete has also been performing well, but their recent away form has been less convincing compared to Las Palmas' overall results, contributing to the likely edge for the home side. The historical head-to-head record slightly favors Las Palmas as well, supporting the probabilities aligned with a potential home victory.

Las Palmas unbeaten in last 5 matches with 3 wins
Albacete has 3 wins in last 5 but less recent away success
Recent head-to-head records favor Las Palmas with a slight edge

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Las Palmas

Historical edgeLas Palmas
Las Palmas have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Good recent formLas Palmas
Las Palmas have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Tighter defenseLas Palmas
Las Palmas are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Higher league positionLas Palmas
Las Palmas sit 19 places above Albacete in the table.
#1 vs #20

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Las Palmas at 53% — final result was Las Palmas win, Las Palmas 2-1 Albacete.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Las Palmas ✓1.78market 56.2% · model 53%

Draw3.50market 28.6% · model 27%

Albacete4.42market 22.6% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Las Palmas have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Albacete have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Las Palmas wins

2Draws

2Albacete wins

13-11Goals

Albacete

2–1Mar 16, 2026, 7:30 PM

Las Palmas

2–1Nov 21, 2025, 7:30 PM

Albacete

1–2Apr 3, 2023, 7:00 PM

Las Palmas

1–2Dec 11, 2022, 8:00 PM

Albacete

Las Palmas

3–2May 24, 2021, 7:00 PM

Albacete

1–1Oct 28, 2020, 6:00 PM

Las Palmas

Albacete

0–0Jun 24, 2020, 7:45 PM

Las Palmas

3–2Sep 27, 2019, 7:00 PM

Albacete

Odds comparison

Match winner

Las Palmas1.78▲best 1.83

Draw3.50▼best 3.70

Albacete4.42▼best 4.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.93▲best 2.02

Under 2.51.85▼best 1.92

Both teams to score

Yes1.80▼best 1.83

No1.89▲best 1.95

Double chance

Las Palmas/Draw1.19▲best 1.23

Las Palmas/Albacete1.26▲best 1.30

Draw/Albacete1.98▼best 2.06

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18▲best 1.18

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▼best 4.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.38▲best 2.38

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.53▼best 1.53

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Las Palmas1.78▲ 0.09

Draw3.50▼ 0.15

Albacete4.42▼ 0.43

13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Las Palmas win+0.7pp

AI

53%

Market

52.3%

Draw+0.4pp

AI

27%

Market

26.6%

Albacete win-1.1pp

AI

20%

Market

21.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+3	6	WW
20	Albacete	2	0	0	2	-2	0	LL

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.5

1.3Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Las Palmas

0-15'

0%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

50%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

50%

76-90+'

0%

Albacete

0-15'

0%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

0%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

0%

76-90+'

100%

Match statistics

66%Possession34%

—Expected goals (xG)—

4Shots on target4

12Total shots12

6Shots off target4

2Blocked shots4

6Shots inside the box7

6Shots outside the box5

3Corners6

3Offsides4

6Fouls16

1Yellow cards2

—Red cards—

3Goalkeeper saves2

579Total passes277

509Accurate passes216

88%Pass accuracy78%

Player ratings

1Manuel FusterLas Palmas7.7
2Taisei MiyashiroLas Palmas🅰️ 17.6
3Sandro RamírezLas Palmas⚽ 17.6
4Victor San BartolomeAlbacete⚽ 1🟨7.5
5Kirian RodríguezLas Palmas🟨7.3
6Juanma HerzogLas Palmas7.3

Box score

Las Palmas

11Taisei MiyashiroM · 90'

🅰️ 17.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes36%

Tackles1

Duels43%

10Jesé RodríguezF · 60'

⚽ 17.2

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes16%

Tackles1

Duels25%

13José Antonio CaroG · 90'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes44%

Tackles—

Duels100%

20

20Kirian Rodríguez (C)M · 90'

🟨7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes93%

Tackles—

Duels50%

8Sergio Ruiz AlonsoM · 60'

7.2

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes42%

Tackles1

Duels67%

4Alex SuárezD · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes54%

Tackles—

Duels100%

14Manuel FusterM · 86'

7.7

More stats

Shots1/3 on target

Passes38%

Tackles1

Duels57%

2Marvin ParkD · 13'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes7%

Tackles—

Duels100%

7

7J. BetancorM · 86'

6.3

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes14%

Tackles1

Duels50%

15Juanma HerzogD · 90'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes62%

Tackles—

Duels80%

27Valentin PezzolesiD · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes36%

Tackles1

Duels80%

Bench (12)

21

21G. BonfantiD · 77'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes27%

Tackles3

Duels54%

19Sandro RamírezF · 11'

⚽ 17.6

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes4%

Tackles—

Duels0%

12Enzo LoiodiceM · 30'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes22%

Tackles—

Duels25%

1Dinko HorkašG

—

26Aboubacar BassingaM

—

32

32R. CruzF · 30'

6.3

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes10%

Tackles3

Duels60%

29

29E. RomeroF · 11'

🅰️ 17.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes4%

Tackles—

Duels50%

23

23A. RodriguezD

—

33

33Víctor VíctorD

—

6

6I. GonzalezM

—

16

16Mateo AcimovicM

—

30

30Iván MedinaF

—

Albacete

13Diego MariñoG · 90'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes13%

Tackles—

Duels0%

20Samuel ObengF · 53'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes3%

Tackles—

Duels25%

17José CorpasM · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots2/4 on target

Passes19%

Tackles2

Duels67%

15Fran GámezM · 79'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels33%

22Lluís López (C)D · 90'

6.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes33%

Tackles—

Duels67%

18Sergio OrtuñoM · 90'

🟨6.6

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes36%

Tackles1

Duels33%

24Jesús VallejoD · 71'

7.0

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes19%

Tackles2

Duels60%

21Carlos NevaM · 71'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes12%

Tackles—

Duels60%

23Pepe SánchezD · 90'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes31%

Tackles—

Duels100%

14

14V. San Bartolome—

—

19

19A. RubioF · 79'

6.6

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes8%

Tackles1

Duels60%

Bench (10)

10Rober GonzálezF · 19'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes4%

Tackles—

Duels20%

9Mario SoberónF · 11'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels0%

1Carlos MarínG

—

5Javier MorenoD

—

33

33T. Ingles—

—

27

27D. BernabeuD · 19'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes5%

Tackles3

Duels57%

2

2Lorenzo AguadoD · 11'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes5%

Tackles—

Duels40%

28Antonio Velilla MiroD

—

38Diego RodríguezM

—

39Fabio GarciaF

—

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Las Palmas vs Albacete?+

Our AI model favors Las Palmas to win, with a 53% probability (Draw 27%, Albacete 20%).

What time does Las Palmas vs Albacete kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 7:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).