Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn

USL Championship· Group Stage
LDWLGoals 6-138th in league
LGoals 0-112th in league
Home4W 4D 2L(12-9)
Away1W 3D 6L(12-26)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'J. Obregón (Christopher Olney)
  2. 14'M. Ybarra
  3. 19'Gabriel Alves
  4. 55'P. da Silva (J. Servania)
  5. 55'T. Okiyoshi (Malik Pinto)
  6. 62'M. Ybarra (A. Okyere)
  7. 62'C. Locker (M. Arteaga)
  8. 65'C. Frogson
  9. 69'O. Anderson (M. Arteaga)
  10. 73'Gabriel Alves (S. Nishikawa)
  11. 80'R. McLaughlin (Vuk Latinovich)
  12. 80'J. Obregón (P. Mangione)
  13. 83'Themi Antonoglou
  14. 87'J. Rodriguez (N. Sessock)
  15. 90+2'O. Anderson (N. Jones)
  16. 90+2'J. Rodriguez (B. Pope)
  17. 90'Vuk Latinovich

Lineups

Las Vegas LightsBrooklyn
0.6
Goals/game
0.0
1.3
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Las Vegas Lights win
51%
Draw
24%
Brooklyn win
25%
26.3%BTTS
17.9%Over 2.5
52.2%Las Vegas Lights clean sheet
44.9%Brooklyn clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests Las Vegas Lights hold a home advantage, evidenced by their stronger recent form and superior home record. Conversely, Brooklyn struggles on the road, having secured just one victory in their last nine away fixtures. Historically, the Lights tend to perform better at home, which may play a crucial role in the match outcome.

  • Las Vegas Lights have a stronger recent form with two wins in their last five matches compared to Brooklyn's one win.
  • Brooklyn has a poor away record this season with only one win out of nine matches.
  • Las Vegas Lights have a home record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, indicating competitive home performances.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Las Vegas Lights

  • Strong home recordLas Vegas Lights

    Las Vegas Lights have won 4 of their last 10 home matches.

    4/10 home wins
  • Weak away recordBrooklyn

    Brooklyn have won 1 of their last 10 away matches.

    1/10 away wins
  • Higher league positionLas Vegas Lights

    Las Vegas Lights sit 4 places above Brooklyn in the table.

    #8 vs #12

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Brooklyn has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Las Vegas Lights at 51% — final result was Las Vegas Lights win, Las Vegas Lights 2-1 Brooklyn.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Las Vegas Lights1.81market 55.3% · model 51%
Draw3.64market 27.5% · model 24%
Brooklyn3.71market 27% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Las Vegas Lights have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Brooklyn have averaged 0 goals scored per game over their last 1 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Las Vegas Lights1.81best 1.87
Draw3.64best 3.94
Brooklyn3.71best 4.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.61best 1.65
Under 2.52.20best 2.26

Both teams to score

Yes1.56best 1.62
No2.26best 2.35

Double chance

Las Vegas Lights/Draw1.22best 1.27
Las Vegas Lights/Brooklyn1.22best 1.25
Draw/Brooklyn1.86best 1.95

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Las Vegas Lights1.81 0.04
Draw3.64 0.04
Brooklyn3.71 0.14
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Las Vegas Lights win+0.6pp
AI
51%
Market
50.4%
Draw-1pp
AI
24%
Market
25%
Brooklyn win+0.4pp
AI
25%
Market
24.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Las Vegas Lights
21858-229WWDD
12
Brooklyn
193412-1713LLLD

Pre-match comparison

0.6Goals scored per game0
1.3Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 1 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

More USL Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn?+

Our AI model favors Las Vegas Lights to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 24%, Brooklyn 25%).

What time does Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 2:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).