Lask Linz vs Ried

Bundesliga· Regular Season - 3
Lask Linz
41Full-time
Ried
WWLWGoals 25-112nd in league
WLLWGoals 10-127th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(7-1)
Away0W 1D 1L(2-5)
Raiffeisen Arena

Raiffeisen Arena, Linz · Capacity 19,080 · grass · Referee: A. Sadikovski

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'P. Sissoko (Stefan Schwab)
  2. 10'S. Adeniran (M. Usor)
  3. 18'M. Usor (Andres Andrade)
  4. 27'S. Adeniran (Melayro Bogarde)
  5. 46'S. Horvath (Alessandro Schöpf)
  6. 55'S. Adeniran (C. Lang)
  7. 57'C. Lang (M. Usor)
  8. 63'Melayro Bogarde (Florian Flecker)
  9. 63'M. Usor (K. Danek)
  10. 65'Stefan Schwab (Martin Rasner)
  11. 65'Martin Rasner (J. Mayer)
  12. 65'P. Sissoko (J. Mayer)
  13. 70'Lukas Malicsek
  14. 73'S. Chukwudi
  15. 74'Robert Ljubičić
  16. 79'Oliver Sorg (T. Kusanovic)
  17. 83'K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen (N. Kane)
  18. 85'D. Radonjic (Tobias Lund Jensen)

Lineups

Lask LinzRied
2.5
Goals/game
1.0
1.1
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Lask Linz win
65%
Draw
20%
Ried win
15%
54.8%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
35%Lask Linz clean sheet
15.7%Ried clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-1

Data suggests that Lask Linz is in excellent form, having won their last five matches and consistently scoring at a high rate. In contrast, Ried has struggled, managing only one point from their first two games and experiencing recent losses. The numbers favor a comfortable victory for Lask Linz, particularly given their strong performance at home.

  • Lask Linz unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Ried has lost last 2 matches
  • Lask Linz has a strong home scoring average of 2.6 goals per game
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lask Linz

  • Strong home recordLask Linz

    Lask Linz have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.

    2/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordRied

    Ried have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Good recent formLask Linz

    Lask Linz have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Good recent formRied

    Ried have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Lask Linz at 65% — final result was Lask Linz win, Lask Linz 4-1 Ried.

Predicted score was 3-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Lask Linz1.45market 68.9% · model 65%
Draw4.52market 22.1% · model 20%
Ried6.18market 16.2% · model 15%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Lask Linz have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Ried have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Lask Linz wins
4Draws
3Ried wins
6-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Lask Linz1.45best 1.53
Draw4.52best 4.83
Ried6.18best 6.55

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.59best 1.69
Under 2.52.29best 2.46

Both teams to score

Yes1.73best 1.80
No2.00best 2.15

Double chance

Lask Linz/Draw1.11best 1.14
Lask Linz/Ried1.18best 1.20
Draw/Ried2.62best 2.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.50best 6.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Lask Linz1.45 0.08
Draw4.52 0.42
Ried6.18 0.73
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Lask Linz win+0.7pp
AI
65%
Market
64.3%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
20%
Market
20.6%
Ried win-0.1pp
AI
15%
Market
15.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Lask Linz
3300+89WWW
7
Ried
4112-34WLLD

Pre-match comparison

2.5Goals scored per game1
1.1Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Sadikovski

4Yellow cards / game
0.38Red cards / game
0.38Penalties scored / game

Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Lask Linz

0-15'
7.7%
16-30'
3.8%
31-45'
15.4%
46-60'
26.9%
61-75'
15.4%
76-90+'
30.8%

Ried

0-15'
10%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
40%

More Bundesliga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Lask Linz vs Ried?+

Our AI model favors Lask Linz to win, with a 65% probability (Draw 20%, Ried 15%).

Where is Lask Linz vs Ried played?+

The match is played at Raiffeisen Arena, Linz (capacity 19,080).

What time does Lask Linz vs Ried kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).