Lazio vs Mantova
Match events
- 21'B. Tomašević
- 25'Nicolò Rovella
- 56'Rares Ilie (D. Bragantini)
- 56'J. Silva (Ismael Cajazzo)
- 56'B. Tomašević (Andrea Meroni)
- 56'F. Dele-Bashiru
- 64'Alfonso Pedraza (Luca Pellegrini)
- 71'F. Dele-Bashiru (D. Frattesi)
- 71'B. Dia (Petar Ratkov)
- 74'Lorenzo Ignacchiti (Jean Pierre Longonda)
- 75'F. Ruocco (D. Bragantini)
- 79'M. Cancellieri
- 79'Nicolò Rovella (Reda Belahyane)
- 79'M. Cancellieri (T. Noslin)
- 85'Fahem Benaissa-Yahia (D. Wieser)
- 90+6'Ismael Cajazzo (D. Wieser)
Lineups
LazioCoach: G. Gattuso
MantovaCoach: Francesco Modesto
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests a strong likelihood of a Lazio victory based on their better recent form and home advantage, although they have struggled defensively. Mantova's recent form has been poor, with four losses in their last five matches, which may hinder their chances against Lazio.
- Lazio has won 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Mantova recently lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Lazio averages 1.33 xG per game compared to Mantova's scoring record.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lazio
- Sharper attackMantova
Mantova are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Tighter defenseMantova
Mantova are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lazio at 72.73% — final result was Mantova win, Lazio 0-2 Mantova.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Lazio have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Mantova have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
Giuseppe Mucera
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Lazio
Mantova
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Ismael CajazzoMantova⚽ 18.2
- 2A. CastelliniMantova7.5
- 3F. RuoccoMantova⚽ 17.5
- 4Adam MarušićLazio7.3
- 5D. BragantiniMantova🅰️ 17.3
- 6T. NoslinLazio7.2
Box score
Lazio
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Bench (15)
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Mantova
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Bench (13)
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More Coppa Italia predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Lazio vs Mantova?+
Our AI model favors Lazio to win, with a 72.73% probability (Draw 17.78%, Mantova 9.49%).
What time does Lazio vs Mantova kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 7:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).