LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC

Primera División· Apertura - 4
LWLLGoals 17-102nd in league
LLLWGoals 11-227th in league
Home2W 0D 1L(4-3)
Away0W 1D 1L(2-3)
Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto

Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela · Capacity 17,895 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'Juanpi
  2. 15'A. Sinclair
  3. 28'D. Rodriguez
  4. 41'Juanpi (C. Perez)
  5. 42'A. Gamboa
  6. 46'W. Cortes (K. Villalobos)
  7. 46'Y. Molina (R. Matarrita)
  8. 48'Y. Sosa
  9. 58'Ulises Segura (Y. Tejeda)
  10. 63'Rashir Parkins (A. Salazar)
  11. 63'A. Hernandez (Angel Zaldívar)
  12. 66'Y. Sosa
  13. 66'Y. Sosa
  14. 69'K. Michel
  15. 75'A. Sinclair (K. Fajardo)
  16. 76'P. Alvarez (R. Taylor)
  17. 76'Celso Borges (D. Paz)
  18. 77'R. Taylor
  19. 85'K. Fajardo
  20. 86'K. Villalobos (L. Comachi)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
LD AlajuelensePuntarenas FC
1.7
Goals/game
1.1
1.0
Conceded/game
2.2

AI match analysis

LD Alajuelense win
65%
Draw
21%
Puntarenas FC win
14%
55.8%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
35%LD Alajuelense clean sheet
14.2%Puntarenas FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-1

Data suggests that LD Alajuelense is in strong form, having won 3 out of their last 5 matches, including a dominant 5-2 victory over Puntarenas FC earlier this season. Conversely, Puntarenas FC has struggled defensively, conceding an average of over 2 goals per game in their recent matches. The historical head-to-head record also heavily favors LD Alajuelense, which likely contributes to the high implied probability for their victory.

  • LD Alajuelense averages 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over their last 10 matches
  • Puntarenas FC has conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • Historically, LD Alajuelense won 5 of the last 5 encounters against Puntarenas FC
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors LD Alajuelense

  • Strong home recordLD Alajuelense

    LD Alajuelense have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.

    2/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordPuntarenas FC

    Puntarenas FC have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Poor recent formLD Alajuelense

    LD Alajuelense have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Poor recent formPuntarenas FC

    Puntarenas FC have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked LD Alajuelense at 65% — final result was LD Alajuelense win, LD Alajuelense 2-1 Puntarenas FC.

Predicted score was 3-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

LD Alajuelense1.42market 70.4% · model 65%
Draw4.17market 24% · model 21%
Puntarenas FC6.39market 15.7% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • LD Alajuelense have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Puntarenas FC have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3LD Alajuelense wins
4Draws
1Puntarenas FC wins
10-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

LD Alajuelense1.42best 1.46
Draw4.17best 4.45
Puntarenas FC6.39best 7.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.70best 1.80
Under 2.52.04best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.85best 2.00
No1.83best 1.91

Double chance

LD Alajuelense/Draw1.08best 1.13
LD Alajuelense/Puntarenas FC1.17best 1.22
Draw/Puntarenas FC2.60best 2.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

LD Alajuelense1.42 0.02
Draw4.17 0.18
Puntarenas FC6.39 0.12
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

LD Alajuelense win+1pp
AI
65%
Market
64%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
21%
Market
21.8%
Puntarenas FC win-0.2pp
AI
14%
Market
14.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
LD Alajuelense
5311+410WWWD
7
Puntarenas FC
5122-25LLDD

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.1
1Goals conceded per game2.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

LD Alajuelense

0-15'
11.8%
16-30'
11.8%
31-45'
29.4%
46-60'
17.6%
61-75'
5.9%
76-90+'
23.5%

Puntarenas FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
9.1%
31-45'
18.2%
46-60'
36.4%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
36.4%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?+

Our AI model favors LD Alajuelense to win, with a 65% probability (Draw 21%, Puntarenas FC 14%).

Where is LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC played?+

The match is played at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela (capacity 17,895).

What time does LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).