LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC

Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela · Capacity 17,895 · grass
Match events
- 15'Juanpi
- 15'A. Sinclair
- 28'D. Rodriguez
- 41'Juanpi (C. Perez)
- 42'A. Gamboa
- 46'W. Cortes (K. Villalobos)
- 46'Y. Molina (R. Matarrita)
- 48'Y. Sosa
- 58'Ulises Segura (Y. Tejeda)
- 63'Rashir Parkins (A. Salazar)
- 63'A. Hernandez (Angel Zaldívar)
- 66'Y. Sosa
- 66'Y. Sosa
- 69'K. Michel
- 75'A. Sinclair (K. Fajardo)
- 76'P. Alvarez (R. Taylor)
- 76'Celso Borges (D. Paz)
- 77'R. Taylor
- 85'K. Fajardo
- 86'K. Villalobos (L. Comachi)
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 2.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-1
Data suggests that LD Alajuelense is in strong form, having won 3 out of their last 5 matches, including a dominant 5-2 victory over Puntarenas FC earlier this season. Conversely, Puntarenas FC has struggled defensively, conceding an average of over 2 goals per game in their recent matches. The historical head-to-head record also heavily favors LD Alajuelense, which likely contributes to the high implied probability for their victory.
- LD Alajuelense averages 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over their last 10 matches
- Puntarenas FC has conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Historically, LD Alajuelense won 5 of the last 5 encounters against Puntarenas FC
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors LD Alajuelense
- Strong home recordLD Alajuelense
LD Alajuelense have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
2/3 home wins - Weak away recordPuntarenas FC
Puntarenas FC have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins - Poor recent formLD Alajuelense
LD Alajuelense have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formPuntarenas FC
Puntarenas FC have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked LD Alajuelense at 65% — final result was LD Alajuelense win, LD Alajuelense 2-1 Puntarenas FC.
Predicted score was 3-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- LD Alajuelense have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Puntarenas FC have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 | WWWD | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | LLDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
LD Alajuelense
Puntarenas FC
More Primera División predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?+
Our AI model favors LD Alajuelense to win, with a 65% probability (Draw 21%, Puntarenas FC 14%).
Where is LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC played?+
The match is played at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela (capacity 17,895).
What time does LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

