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LDU de Quito vs Emelec

Liga Pro· Regular Season - 26
LDU de Quito
2–0Full-time
Emelec
DWWWGoals 9-105th in league
WLDWGoals 12-1413th in league
Home6W 3D 4L(12-10)
Away2W 4D 7L(7-19)
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado

Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito · Capacity 55,104 · grass · Referee: G. Guerrero

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 2'J. Corozo (Y. Quinonez)
  2. 16'Stalin Valencia
  3. 16'S. Valencia
  4. 18'L. Segovia (Deyverson)
  5. 21'Goal confirmed — Deyverson
  6. 22'L. Segovia
  7. 36'Stalin Valencia (J. Ruiz)
  8. 37'S. Valencia (J. Ruiz)
  9. 45+6'J. Corozo
  10. 45+6'Card upgrade confirmed — J. Corozo
  11. 46'V. Griffith (G. Nápoli)
  12. 46'L. Fragozo (L. Klimowicz)
  13. 59'A. Mina (F. Pizzini)
  14. 69'Alexander Alvarado (F. Cornejo)
  15. 69'Deyverson (Michael Estradâ)
  16. 76'L. Gomez
  17. 80'L. Gomez (R. Saya)
  18. 81'J. Rodriguez (S. Gonzalez Baquero)
  19. 90+2'J. Carabali (R. Ade)

Lineups

LDU de Quito
Emelec
5-3-24-2-3-1
22
22. Alexander Domínguez
67
← 90+2'
67. J. Carabali
44
44. L. Segovia
31
← 81'
31. J. Rodriguez
30
30. G. Allala
23
23. Y. Quinonez
10
← 69'
10. Alexander Alvarado
8
8. Jesús Pretell
26
26. I. Zambrano
← 69'
16. Deyverson
13
13. J. Corozo
9
9. R. Carrillo
15
← 46'
15. L. Fragozo
5
← 59'
5. A. Mina
2
2. Aníbal Leguizamón
32
32. Jefferson Valverde
6
← 46'
6. V. Griffith
3
3. I. Guerrico
51
← 36'
51. Stalin Valencia
27
27. F. León
13
← 80'
13. L. Gomez
90
90. Eduardo Bores
Gustavo AlvarezCoach
Bench (12)
Bench (12)
LDU de QuitoEmelec
0.9
Goals/game
1.2
1.0
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

LDU de Quito win
60%
Draw
24%
Emelec win
16%
45.6%BTTS
39.1%Over 2.5
33.3%LDU de Quito clean sheet
31.7%Emelec clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests LDU de Quito has a stronger recent home performance, notably winning 4 out of their last 5 matches against Emelec. Emelec struggles away from home, with only 2 victories in their 12 away fixtures this season, which may further favor the hosts in this matchup.

  • LDU de Quito has won 4 of their last 5 home matches against Emelec.
  • Emelec's away form shows only 2 wins in 12 matches this season.
  • Historically, LDU de Quito has a slight edge in their recent head-to-head encounters against Emelec.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
97/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors LDU de Quito

  • Higher league positionLDU de Quito

    LDU de Quito sit 8 places above Emelec in the table.

    #5 vs #13
  • Strong home recordLDU de Quito

    LDU de Quito have won 6 of their last 13 home matches.

    6/13 home wins
  • Weak away recordEmelec

    Emelec have won 2 of their last 13 away matches.

    2/13 away wins
  • Historical edgeLDU de Quito

    LDU de Quito have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked LDU de Quito at 60% — final result was LDU de Quito win, LDU de Quito 2-0 Emelec.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (97/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

LDU de Quito ✓1.54market 65% · model 60%
Draw3.72market 26.9% · model 24%
Emelec5.63market 17.7% · model 16%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • LDU de Quito have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Emelec have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4LDU de Quito wins
2Draws
2Emelec wins
9-6Goals
LDU de Quito
0–1Dec 4, 2025, 12:00 AM
Emelec
Emelec
1–2Nov 18, 2025, 12:00 AM
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
2–0Jul 12, 2025, 9:30 PM
Emelec
Emelec
1–0Mar 16, 2025, 11:00 PM
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0–1Nov 3, 2024, 8:30 PM
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
2–2May 11, 2024, 11:00 PM
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1–0Oct 22, 2023, 11:00 PM
Emelec
Emelec
1–1May 14, 2023, 11:00 PM
LDU de Quito

Odds comparison

Match winner

LDU de Quito1.54▲best 1.60
Draw3.72▲best 4.05
Emelec5.63▲best 6.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.94▲best 2.04
Under 2.51.77▼best 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes1.94▲best 2.05
No1.72▼best 1.80

Double chance

LDU de Quito/Draw1.11▼best 1.15
LDU de Quito/Emelec1.21▲best 1.28
Draw/Emelec2.30▲best 2.45

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

LDU de Quito1.54
Draw3.72▲ 0.02
Emelec5.63
21 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

LDU de Quito win+0.7pp
AI
60%
Market
59.3%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
24%
Market
24.5%
Emelec win-0.2pp
AI
16%
Market
16.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
LDU de Quito
261259+641WLWW
13
Emelec
268810-1029WDLL

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.2
1Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

G. Guerrero

3.67Yellow cards / game
0.17Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

LDU de Quito

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
71.4%

Emelec

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win LDU de Quito vs Emelec?+

Our AI model favors LDU de Quito to win, with a 60% probability (Draw 24%, Emelec 16%).

Where is LDU de Quito vs Emelec played?+

The match is played at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito (capacity 55,104).

What time does LDU de Quito vs Emelec kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).