Leicester vs Burton Albion
Match events
- 5'Matthew Dennis (Kyran Lofthouse)
- 17'Curtis Tilt
- 25'K. Chauke
- 29'Oliver Skipp
- 34'Liam Cullen (Hamza Choudhury)
- 42'Wes Burns
- 54'Wes Burns (H. Howell)
- 55'A. Bristric (B. Reid)
- 55'Will Alves (Tom Watson)
- 63'S. Krubally
- 64'S. Krubally (Will Collar)
- 70'Matthew Dennis (E. Adiele)
- 74'Kyran Lofthouse
- 77'Luke Thomas (L. Page)
- 83'B. Reid
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
The data suggests that Leicester is favored in this matchup, having not lost to Burton Albion in their last several encounters. Both teams are coming off draws in their respective previous fixtures, but Leicester's recent form is slightly stronger with three wins in their last five matches. Given this context, Leicester may edge out Burton Albion, potentially securing a narrow victory.
- Leicester unbeaten in last 5 matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws
- Burton Albion has drawn 4 out of their last 5 matches
- Leicester has a strong head-to-head record against Burton Albion, winning 3 of the last 4 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Leicester
- Historical edgeLeicester
Leicester have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
3/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionBurton Albion
Burton Albion sit 11 places above Leicester in the table.
#7 vs #18 - Sharper attackBurton Albion
Burton Albion are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1/game - Tighter defenseLeicester
Leicester are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Leicester at 62.24% — final result was Burton Albion win, Leicester 1-2 Burton Albion.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Leicester have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Burton Albion have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |  Leicester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 7 |  Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
B. Toner
Based on 22 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Leicester
Burton Albion
More League One predictions
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DoncasterFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Leicester vs Burton Albion?+
Our AI model favors Leicester to win, with a 62.24% probability (Draw 21.54%, Burton Albion 16.22%).
What time does Leicester vs Burton Albion kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).