Lens vs Auxerre
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens · Capacity 41,233 · grass · Referee: M. Vernice
Match events
- 12'F. Thauvin
- 35'Christ Makosso
- 49'F. Ivanovic (Abdallah Sima)
- 54'Saud Abdulhamid (F. Thauvin)
- 56'Goal Under Review - offside
- 57'Saud Abdulhamid
- 61'Daniel Loader
- 63'Saud Abdulhamid (M. Skóraś)
- 63'F. Ivanovic (T. Hazard)
- 66'I. Ganiou (M. Skóraś)
- 68'A. Zossou (R. Mandengue)
- 68'Romain Faivre (L. Dioubate)
- 70'L. Sy (R. Mandengue)
- 71'Abdallah Sima (Odsonne Édouard)
- 71'Michaël Cuisance (Amadou Haidara)
- 77'Naouirou Ahamada (E. Legros)
- 77'Daniel Loader (L. Coulibaly)
- 80'I. Ganiou (A. Bulatović)
- 84'Maik Nawrocki
- 86'L. Dioubate
- 87'F. Thauvin (F. Thauvin)
- 89'A. Piedfort (Josué Casimir)
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Lens has a favorable historical record against Auxerre, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. Additionally, Lens exhibits a solid recent form at home, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Auxerre's away performances have been less convincing. The numbers indicate a strong likelihood of a Lens victory, with a predicted score of 2-1.
- Lens unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Auxerre
- Auxerre has a weaker recent away form with 3 wins in their last 10 away matches
- Lens averages 1.8 goals scored per game in recent fixtures
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lens
- Historical edgeLens
Lens have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
7/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionLens
Lens sit 15 places above Auxerre in the table.
#2 vs #17 - Good recent formLens
Lens have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Strong recent formAuxerre
Auxerre are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lens at 63.85% — final result was Lens win, Lens 5-2 Auxerre.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Lens have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Auxerre have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Vernice
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Lens
Auxerre
More Ligue 1 predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Lens vs Auxerre?+
Our AI model favors Lens to win, with a 63.85% probability (Draw 21.15%, Auxerre 15%).
Where is Lens vs Auxerre played?+
The match is played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens (capacity 41,233).
What time does Lens vs Auxerre kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 3:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).