Leon vs Real Salt Lake
Match events
- 9'DeAndre Yedlin
- 20'D. Cambindo (Iván Moreno)
- 26'S. Spierings (Pablo Ruiz)
- 46'Iván Moreno (B. Colula)
- 60'DeAndre Yedlin (K. Henry)
- 65'Jordi Cortizo (J. Domínguez)
- 66'Sebastián Vegas (F. Beltran Cruz)
- 72'D. Cambindo (F. Beltran Cruz)
- 74'J. Rodríguez (L. Valadez)
- 74'Juan Manuel Sanabria (Alexandros Katranis)
- 74'Saba Lobjanidze (D. Marczuk)
- 74'M. Guilavogui (A. Hezarkhani)
- 77'D. Cambindo
- 78'L. Engel
- 81'D. Arcila (I. Díaz)
- 81'D. Cambindo (José Alvarado)
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The analysis indicates that Real Salt Lake holds an advantage after their recent victory over Leon in their last meeting. While Leon has been effective at home, their defense shows a pattern of conceding goals, which might favor Real Salt Lake's offensive form, scoring 1.9 goals on average in their last 10 matches.
- Real Salt Lake won the last encounter 3-1 against Leon
- Leon has a strong scoring average of 1.3 goals per game but also concedes 1.2
- Real Salt Lake scored an average of 1.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Real Salt Lake
- Historical edgeReal Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Good recent formLeon
Leon have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Sharper attackReal Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Tighter defenseLeon
Leon are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Real Salt Lake at 44% — final result was Leon win, Leon 3-0 Real Salt Lake.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (64/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Leon have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Real Salt Lake have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Leon
Real Salt Lake
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Leon vs Real Salt Lake?+
Our AI model favors Real Salt Lake to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 26%, Leon 30%).
What time does Leon vs Real Salt Lake kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 2:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).