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Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna

First League· Regular Season - 6
Levski Sofia
6–0Full-time
Spartak Varna
DWDLGoals 9-82nd in league
WWLLGoals 12-117th in league
Home4W 0D 0L(13-1)
Away1W 0D 2L(5-9)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'Armstrong Oko-Flex
  2. 15'J. Perea
  3. 46'Álex Centelles (Maicon)
  4. 46'T. Marinov (R. Sousa)
  5. 49'R. Sousa
  6. 59'A. Ivanov (Jota Lopes)
  7. 59'Bua (Tomás Silva)
  8. 59'A. Ahmedov (T. Chunchukov)
  9. 61'D. Kusso
  10. 63'Serginho (El Mehdi Moubarik)
  11. 63'A. Mitkov (Marko Grujić)
  12. 64'Armstrong Oko-Flex (M. Soula)
  13. 71'Armstrong Oko-Flex (Adrian Raychev)
  14. 75'B. Hanne (S. Major)
  15. 79'V. Oliveira
  16. 80'J. Perea (Steven Stoyanchov)
  17. 88'Steven Stoyanchov
  18. 90'Adrian Raychev

Lineups

Levski Sofia
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
92
92. Svetoslav Vutsov
20
← 46'
20. Álex Centelles
4
4. C. Makoun
18
18. G. Trdin
2
2. Hevertton Santos
10
← 63'
10. A. Mitkov
35
← 63'
35. Serginho
← 71'
11. Armstrong Oko-Flex
22
22. M. Soula
27
27. D. Kusso
9
← 80'
9. J. Perea
70
← 59'
70. A. Ahmedov
7
← 59'
7. Bua
7
7. Buá
11
← 75'
11. B. Hanne
77
← 59'
77. A. Ivanov
72
72. V. Oliveira
17
← 46'
17. T. Marinov
4
4. B. Ivanov
45
45. J. Tshitoku
44
44. A. Granchov
76
76. D. Valverde
23
23. P. Iliev
Julio VelazquezCoachYasen Petrov
Bench (11)
Bench (10)
Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
0.9
Goals/game
1.2
0.8
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Levski Sofia win
76%
Draw
15%
Spartak Varna win
9%
40%BTTS
32.3%Over 2.5
36.8%Levski Sofia clean sheet
36.8%Spartak Varna clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests that Levski Sofia is likely to maintain their strong home form, having won all three home matches this season and recently secured a 2-0 victory against a rival. In contrast, Spartak Varna has struggled in their last few outings, with two losses in their last three games, which gives Levski Sofia a favorable edge heading into this match.

  • Levski Sofia has won all 3 home games this season
  • Spartak Varna has lost 2 of its last 3 matches
  • Historically, Levski Sofia has a strong head-to-head record against Spartak Varna
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Levski Sofia

  • Strong home recordLevski Sofia

    Levski Sofia have won 4 of their last 4 home matches.

    4/4 home wins
  • Weak away recordSpartak Varna

    Spartak Varna have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.

    1/3 away wins
  • Historical edgeLevski Sofia

    Levski Sofia have won 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    4/6 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formSpartak Varna

    Spartak Varna have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Levski Sofia at 76% — final result was Levski Sofia win, Levski Sofia 6-0 Spartak Varna.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Levski Sofia ✓1.27market 79% · model 76%
Draw5.18market 19.3% · model 15%
Spartak Varna9.78market 10.2% · model 9%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Levski Sofia have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Spartak Varna have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4Levski Sofia wins
2Draws
0Spartak Varna wins
14-4Goals
Spartak Varna
1–3Dec 7, 2025, 3:00 PM
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
2–1Aug 10, 2025, 4:00 PM
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
2–0Feb 21, 2025, 3:45 PM
Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
0–0Aug 31, 2024, 4:00 PM
Levski Sofia
Spartak Varna
2–2Nov 6, 2022, 12:45 PM
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
5–0Jul 16, 2022, 6:00 PM
Spartak Varna

Odds comparison

Match winner

Levski Sofia1.27▲best 1.32
Draw5.18▼best 5.64
Spartak Varna9.78▼best 12.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.65▲best 1.71
Under 2.52.11▼best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes2.13▼best 2.38
No1.63▲best 1.70

Double chance

Levski Sofia/Draw1.04▲best 1.09
Levski Sofia/Spartak Varna1.13▲best 1.17
Draw/Spartak Varna3.48▼best 3.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.80▲best 1.80
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.91▼best 1.91
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00▼best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08▲best 1.08

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Levski Sofia1.27▲ 0.05
Draw5.18▲ 0.18
Spartak Varna9.78▼ 1.22
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Levski Sofia win+3.2pp
AI
76%
Market
72.8%
Draw-2.8pp
AI
15%
Market
17.8%
Spartak Varna win-0.4pp
AI
9%
Market
9.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Levski Sofia
5500+1315WWWW
7
Spartak Varna
6213-47LLWW

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.2
0.8Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Levski Sofia

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

Spartak Varna

0-15'
20%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
10%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
10%

Match statistics

—%Possession—%
—Expected goals (xG)—
—Shots on target—
—Total shots—
—Shots off target—
—Blocked shots—
—Shots inside the box—
—Shots outside the box—
—Corners—
—Offsides—
—Fouls—
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
—Goalkeeper saves—
—Total passes—
—Accurate passes—
—%Pass accuracy—%

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Spartak Varna
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15.45
X3.94
21.53

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?+

Our AI model favors Levski Sofia to win, with a 76% probability (Draw 15%, Spartak Varna 9%).

What time does Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).