Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights
Match events
- 16'P. Goodrum
- 38'B. Ofeimu
- 51'Nick Firmino (B. Ferri)
- 54'M. Epps (P. Goodrum)
- 57'B. Ofeimu (N. Jones)
- 57'C. Locker (P. Leal)
- 67'C. Pinzon (M. Arteaga)
- 67'M. Ybarra (A. Okyere)
- 76'Nick Firmino (M. Fry)
- 78'J. Rodriguez
- 83'O. Semmle
- 85'T. Antonoglou (B. Pope)
- 87'M. Fry
- 88'J. Brown
- 90+2'P. Goodrum (A. Caborn)
- 90+6'N. Sessock
- 90+7'M. Epps (M. Yosef)
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
The statistics suggest that Lexington holds a slight advantage, particularly with a strong home record of 6 wins in 10 matches and being unbeaten in their last three at home. Conversely, Las Vegas Lights have struggled on the road, securing only 4 wins out of 10 with a recent drop in away performance. The head-to-head history adds further flavor to this match, showing that Lexington has not lost at home to Las Vegas in their last two encounters.
- Lexington unbeaten in last 3 home games
- Las Vegas Lights have lost 5 away games this season
- Lexington's recent form includes 2 wins in last 5 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lexington
- Historical edgeLas Vegas Lights
Las Vegas Lights have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
1/2 H2H wins - Poor recent formLexington
Lexington have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Strong home recordLexington
Lexington have won 7 of their last 11 home matches.
7/11 home wins - Weak away recordLas Vegas Lights
Las Vegas Lights have won 4 of their last 11 away matches.
4/11 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lexington at 55% — final result was Lexington win, Lexington 2-0 Las Vegas Lights.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (92/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Lexington have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Las Vegas Lights have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  Lexington | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 31 | WLWW |
| 8 |  Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 29 | WWDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Lexington
Las Vegas Lights
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Birmingham LegionFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights?+
Our AI model favors Lexington to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 24%, Las Vegas Lights 21%).
What time does Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).