Leyton Orient vs Sheffield Wednesday

League One· Regular Season - 1
WWWWGoals 9-1010th in league
WWLLGoals 6-1312th in league
Home0W 0D 1L(1-2)
Away1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Brisbane Road

Brisbane Road, London · Capacity 9,271 · grass · Referee: S. Allison

Value found

+2.5% edge

Sheffield Wednesday win

2.53AI fair odds
2.59Bookmaker odds
+2.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 14'T. Onyango (Jarvis Thornton)
  2. 19'Callum Slattery
  3. 26'Joseph Olowu (J. Kabia)
  4. 31'Sil Swinkels
  5. 41'G. Otegbayo
  6. 46'Jordi Liongola (Louie Barry)
  7. 57'Isaac Hayden
  8. 61'S. Boniface (James Morris)
  9. 63'Zech Obiero
  10. 66'J. Lowe
  11. 73'Zech Obiero (Tony Springett)
  12. 73'James Morris (N. Oyekunle)
  13. 73'Yusuf Akhamrich (Alfie Gilchrist)
  14. 81'Sil Swinkels (Liam Cooper)
  15. 81'Harry Gray (M. Burstow)
  16. 82'F. Stevens (Demetri Mitchell)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Leyton OrientSheffield Wednesday
0.9
Goals/game
0.6
1.0
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Leyton Orient win
32.81%
Draw
27.61%
Sheffield Wednesday win
39.59%
36.7%BTTS
29.6%Over 2.5
44.9%Leyton Orient clean sheet
33.3%Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Statistical data suggests that Sheffield Wednesday has the advantage based on their recent form, having won their last two matches. Leyton Orient, while showing some resilience at home, has struggled to maintain consistent scoring, averaging only 0.8 goals in their last ten matches. The head-to-head history also favors Sheffield Wednesday, who have won convincingly in their recent encounters.

  • Sheffield Wednesday won the last 2 head-to-head encounters.
  • Leyton Orient's last 5 matches show 2 wins but 3 games without a win.
  • Sheffield Wednesday has a 40% scoring average away compared to Leyton Orient's 0.8 goals per game over the last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
72/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sheffield Wednesday

  • Historical edgeSheffield Wednesday

    Sheffield Wednesday have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    2/2 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseLeyton Orient

    Leyton Orient are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded
  • Higher league positionLeyton Orient

    Leyton Orient sit 2 places above Sheffield Wednesday in the table.

    #10 vs #12
  • Strong recent formLeyton Orient

    Leyton Orient are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Sheffield Wednesday at 39.59% — final result was Sheffield Wednesday win, Leyton Orient 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sheffield Wednesday2.59market 38.6% · model 39.59%
Leyton Orient2.60market 38.4% · model 32.81%
Draw3.32market 30.1% · model 27.61%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Leyton Orient have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sheffield Wednesday have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Leyton Orient wins
0Draws
2Sheffield Wednesday wins
0-2Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Leyton Orient2.60best 2.84
Draw3.32best 3.46
Sheffield Wednesday2.59best 2.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.90best 1.98
Under 2.51.87best 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.73
No2.06best 2.20

Double chance

Leyton Orient/Draw1.48best 1.57
Leyton Orient/Sheffield Wednesday1.29best 1.31
Draw/Sheffield Wednesday1.44best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Leyton Orient2.60 0.38
Draw3.32 0.08
Sheffield Wednesday2.59 0.31
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Leyton Orient win-3.1pp
AI
32.81%
Market
35.9%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
27.61%
Market
28.1%
Sheffield Wednesday win+3.5pp
AI
39.59%
Market
36.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Leyton Orient
2101+13WL
12
Sheffield Wednesday
210103LW

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game0.6
1Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Allison

4.67Yellow cards / game
0.08Red cards / game
0.25Penalties scored / game

Based on 12 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Leyton Orient

0-15'
7.1%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
92.9%

Sheffield Wednesday

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

More League One predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Leyton Orient vs Sheffield Wednesday?+

Our AI model favors Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 39.59% probability (Draw 27.61%, Leyton Orient 32.81%).

Where is Leyton Orient vs Sheffield Wednesday played?+

The match is played at Brisbane Road, London (capacity 9,271).

What time does Leyton Orient vs Sheffield Wednesday kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).