LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets

Premier League· Regular Season - 3
WLWLGoals 9-88th in league
WDDLGoals 6-1515th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(2-0)
Away0W 0D 1L(0-2)
Cherkasy Arena

Cherkasy Arena, Cherkasy · Capacity 10,321 · grass · Referee: D. Panchyshyn

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'H. Pasich
  2. 41'D. Kravchuk (A. Riabov)
  3. 46'Artur Mykytyshyn (D. Kuzyk)
  4. 46'J. Yoka (V. Faraseyenko)
  5. 55'Talles (D. Kravchuk)
  6. 60'D. Kravchuk (Mark Assinor)
  7. 65'Talles (Y. Pastukh)
  8. 65'Tedi Cara (C. David)
  9. 71'K. Popov (A. Khoma)
  10. 71'D. Alefirenko (S. Korniychuk)
  11. 79'A. Avagymyan (D. Kliots)
  12. 80'A. Yakubu (M. Donyk)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
LNZ CherkasyChornomorets
0.9
Goals/game
0.6
0.8
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

LNZ Cherkasy win
65.89%
Draw
22.22%
Chornomorets win
11.89%
35.2%BTTS
29.6%Over 2.5
49.7%LNZ Cherkasy clean sheet
30.1%Chornomorets clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests a favorable context for LNZ Cherkasy, who have a strong home record against Chornomorets and are unbeaten in their last three matchups. Chornomorets has been struggling, losing four of their last five games, which may limit their chances in this fixture. Historically, the numbers favor LNZ Cherkasy to secure a narrow victory.

  • LNZ Cherkasy unbeaten in last 3 home matches against Chornomorets
  • Chornomorets has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • LNZ Cherkasy outperformed Chornomorets in recent head-to-head encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors LNZ Cherkasy

  • Tighter defenseLNZ Cherkasy

    LNZ Cherkasy are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Historical edgeChornomorets

    Chornomorets have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    2/4 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackLNZ Cherkasy

    LNZ Cherkasy are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game
  • Higher league positionLNZ Cherkasy

    LNZ Cherkasy sit 7 places above Chornomorets in the table.

    #8 vs #15

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked LNZ Cherkasy at 65.89% — final result was LNZ Cherkasy win, LNZ Cherkasy 2-0 Chornomorets.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

LNZ Cherkasy1.41market 70.8% · model 65.89%
Draw3.98market 25.2% · model 22.22%
Chornomorets7.27market 13.8% · model 11.89%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • LNZ Cherkasy have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chornomorets have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1LNZ Cherkasy wins
1Draws
2Chornomorets wins
4-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

LNZ Cherkasy1.41best 1.45
Draw3.98best 4.31
Chornomorets7.27best 8.30

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.10best 2.15
Under 2.51.67best 1.70

Both teams to score

Yes2.31best 2.50
No1.54best 1.57

Double chance

LNZ Cherkasy/Draw1.06best 1.10
LNZ Cherkasy/Chornomorets1.20best 1.22
Draw/Chornomorets2.65best 2.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Home — No2.10best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.67best 1.67

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

LNZ Cherkasy1.41 0.04
Draw3.97 0.17
Chornomorets7.27 0.22
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

LNZ Cherkasy win+1.4pp
AI
65.89%
Market
64.5%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
22.22%
Market
22.9%
Chornomorets win-0.6pp
AI
11.89%
Market
12.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
LNZ Cherkasy
3111-14WLD
15
Chornomorets
2002-30LL

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game0.6
0.8Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Panchyshyn

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.4Penalties scored / game

Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

LNZ Cherkasy

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More Premier League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets?+

Our AI model favors LNZ Cherkasy to win, with a 65.89% probability (Draw 22.22%, Chornomorets 11.89%).

Where is LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets played?+

The match is played at Cherkasy Arena, Cherkasy (capacity 10,321).

What time does LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).