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Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse

First League· Regular Season - 5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2Full-time
Dunav Ruse
LWLLGoals 7-1012th in league
WLLLGoals 10-2013th in league
Home1W 0D 2L(3-4)
Away1W 0D 3L(5-8)
Stadion Lokomotiv

Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv · Capacity 13,800 · grass · Referee: D. Dimitrov

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'Andrei Chindriş
  2. 4'C. Longville (Lucas Ryan)
  3. 12'Lucas Ryan
  4. 16'Stojan Predev
  5. 52'C. Longville
  6. 60'C. Longville (J. Lamy)
  7. 63'M. Dilchovski (I. Budinov)
  8. 64'Radoslav Apostolov (I. Keïta)
  9. 72'A. Valino
  10. 73'E. Ali (Axel Velev)
  11. 77'K. Boychev
  12. 79'K. Boychev
  13. 79'I. Keïta
  14. 83'D. Ali (M. Trdan)
  15. 83'Sevi Idriz (D. Mrankov)
  16. 87'K. Boychev
  17. 90+5'S. Gavrilov (S. Yovkov)

Lineups

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Dunav Ruse
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
1
1. Bojan Milosavljević
5
5. T. Pavlov
13
13. Lucas Ryan
4
4. Andrei Chindriş
2
2. Adrián Cova
12
← 73'
12. E. Ali
22
22. I. Ivanov
7
← 83'
7. Sevi Idriz
11. Ryan Lejten
3
3. Dalil Ali
29
← 60'
29. C. Longville
9
9. A. Valino
11
11. D. Minchev
10
10. K. Boychev
14
← 64'
14. Radoslav Apostolov
24
← 90+5'
24. S. Gavrilov
44. Vladan Vidaković
22
22. Stojan Predev
39
39. A. Alves
5
5. Kyriakos Antoniou
2
← 63'
2. M. Dilchovski
33
33. Georgi Kitanov
Dusan KosicCoachEmanuel Lukanov
Bench (7)
Bench (6)
Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
0.7
Goals/game
1.0
1.0
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv win
56.55%
Draw
25.89%
Dunav Ruse win
17.56%
46.8%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
36.8%Lokomotiv Plovdiv clean sheet
25.9%Dunav Ruse clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Lokomotiv Plovdiv enters this match with a slight edge, maintaining a perfect home record so far this season. Meanwhile, Dunav Ruse has experienced poor form, having lost their last four matches, which contributes to their current position at the bottom of the standings. The head-to-head history also favors Lokomotiv, making them the likely candidates for a victory in this matchup.

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has a strong home record this season with 1 win from 1 home game.
  • Dunav Ruse is struggling with 4 consecutive losses and has not scored in their last two matches.
  • Historically, Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against Dunav Ruse.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
92/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lokomotiv Plovdiv

  • Weak home recordLokomotiv Plovdiv

    Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordDunav Ruse

    Dunav Ruse have won 1 of their last 4 away matches.

    1/4 away wins
  • Tighter defenseLokomotiv Plovdiv

    Lokomotiv Plovdiv are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded
  • Poor recent formLokomotiv Plovdiv

    Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 56.55% — final result was Dunav Ruse win, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 Dunav Ruse.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (92/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.66market 60.2% · model 56.55%
Draw3.45market 29% · model 25.89%
Dunav Ruse ✓5.17market 19.3% · model 17.56%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dunav Ruse have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins
1Draws
2Dunav Ruse wins
11-6Goals
Dunav Ruse
0–3Dec 9, 2019, 3:00 PM
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3–1Aug 19, 2019, 5:30 PM
Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
2–0Apr 19, 2019, 2:30 PM
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1Mar 29, 2019, 6:00 PM
Dunav Ruse
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4–1Mar 9, 2019, 1:00 PM
Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
1–0Oct 21, 2018, 2:30 PM
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Odds comparison

Match winner

Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.66▼best 1.76
Draw3.45▼best 3.70
Dunav Ruse5.17▲best 5.71

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.11best 2.20
Under 2.51.67▲best 1.74

Both teams to score

Yes2.01▲best 2.10
No1.71▼best 1.76

Double chance

Lokomotiv Plovdiv/Draw1.14▼best 1.17
Lokomotiv Plovdiv/Dunav Ruse1.26▲best 1.30
Draw/Dunav Ruse2.09▲best 2.27

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18▼best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▲best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.66▼ 0.03
Draw3.45▲ 0.05
Dunav Ruse5.17▲ 0.34
15 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Lokomotiv Plovdiv win+1pp
AI
56.55%
Market
55.5%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
25.89%
Market
26.7%
Dunav Ruse win-0.2pp
AI
17.56%
Market
17.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
6105-53LLLW
13
Dunav Ruse
6105-73WLLL

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1
1Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Dimitrov

4.67Yellow cards / game
0.33Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Dunav Ruse

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?+

Our AI model favors Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win, with a 56.55% probability (Draw 25.89%, Dunav Ruse 17.56%).

Where is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse played?+

The match is played at Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv (capacity 13,800).

What time does Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).