Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

First League· Regular Season - 6
WLLLGoals 15-1814th in league
LWLLGoals 12-123rd in league
Home0W 0D 2L(2-5)
Away1W 1D 0L(3-0)
Kicks off in
Stadion Lokomotiv

Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia · Capacity 7,000 · grass

Kickoff: Aug 23, 2026, 9:15 PM (stadium time)

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
1.5
Goals/game
1.2
1.8
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Lokomotiv Sofia win
18%
Draw
23%
CSKA Sofia win
59%
57.5%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
22.3%Lokomotiv Sofia clean sheet
25.9%CSKA Sofia clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a significant advantage for CSKA Sofia in this matchup, given their strong recent form and superior league standing. Lokomotiv Sofia's struggles at home and their negative goal difference further support the expectation of a CSKA Sofia win, likely resulting in a score of 2-1.

  • Lokomotiv Sofia has lost all 2 home matches this season
  • CSKA Sofia unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • CSKA Sofia ranked 2nd with 13 points from 5 matches
  • CSKA Sofia has a positive head-to-head record against Lokomotiv Sofia, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
97/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors CSKA Sofia

  • Historical edgeCSKA Sofia

    CSKA Sofia have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionCSKA Sofia

    CSKA Sofia sit 11 places above Lokomotiv Sofia in the table.

    #3 vs #14
  • Weak home recordLokomotiv Sofia

    Lokomotiv Sofia have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.

    0/2 home wins
  • Strong away recordCSKA Sofia

    CSKA Sofia have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.

    1/2 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Lokomotiv Sofia have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • CSKA Sofia have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Lokomotiv Sofia wins
3Draws
5CSKA Sofia wins
2-11Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Lokomotiv Sofia4.94best 5.25
Draw3.88best 4.10
CSKA Sofia1.60best 1.63

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.72best 1.76
Under 2.52.04best 2.10

Both teams to score

Yes1.73best 1.76
No1.98best 2.05

Double chance

Lokomotiv Sofia/Draw2.22best 2.40
Lokomotiv Sofia/CSKA Sofia1.21best 1.25
Draw/CSKA Sofia1.15best 1.18

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.12best 1.12
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.38best 2.38
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.53best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.00best 6.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Lokomotiv Sofia4.94 0.09
Draw3.88 0.07
CSKA Sofia1.60 0.04
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Lokomotiv Sofia win-0.6pp
AI
18%
Market
18.6%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
23%
Market
23.7%
CSKA Sofia win+1.3pp
AI
59%
Market
57.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
Lokomotiv Sofia
5023-52LDLD
3
CSKA Sofia
5410+1013WWWD

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.2
1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Lokomotiv Sofia

0-15'
30%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
10%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
30%

CSKA Sofia

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
40%
76-90+'
20%

More First League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?+

Our AI model favors CSKA Sofia to win, with a 59% probability (Draw 23%, Lokomotiv Sofia 18%).

Where is Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia played?+

The match is played at Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia (capacity 7,000).

What time does Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).