Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers
SoFi Stadium
Value found
+21.2% edgeSan Francisco 49ers win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | |
| 0 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 41 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 18-27
The historical data indicates the San Francisco 49ers have had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning 3 of the last 5 matchups against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers have struggled, winning just once in their last five matches and averaging 18.3 points per game, which is notably lower than the 49ers' scoring average of 25.9. This suggests that the 49ers might capitalize on their offensive capabilities while the Chargers face challenges in their current form.
- San Francisco 49ers scored an average of 25.9 points over their last 10 matches
- Los Angeles Chargers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- San Francisco 49ers lead the recent head-to-head, winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters
- Los Angeles Chargers have been averaging only 18.3 points in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors San Francisco 49ers
- Tighter defenseLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers are conceding just 18.6 points per game over their recent matches.
18.6/game conceded - Historical edgeSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked San Francisco 49ers at 67% — final result was San Francisco 49ers win, Los Angeles Chargers 17-41 San Francisco 49ers.
Predicted score was 18-27.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Los Angeles Chargers have averaged 18.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- San Francisco 49ers have averaged 25.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Los Angeles Chargers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with San Francisco 49ers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Los Angeles Chargers | San Francisco 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.98▲ | 1.79▼ |
| -1 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| -0.5 | 1.83 | 1.88 |
| +0.5 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| +1 | 1.89▲ | 1.92▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.88▼ | 1.89▲ |
| +2 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| +2.5 | 1.79▲ | 1.93▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | 1.67▲ | 2.05▼ |
| 36.5 | 1.69▲ | 2.05▼ |
| 37 | 1.77▲ | 1.93▼ |
| 37.5 | 1.86▲ | 1.90▼ |
| 38 | 1.90▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 38.5 | 1.92▲ | 1.83▼ |
| 39 | 1.94▲ | 1.83▼ |
| 39.5 | 1.96▲ | 1.77▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
More NFL predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers?+
Our AI model favors San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 67% probability (Los Angeles Chargers 33%).
What time does Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers?+
Los Angeles Chargers: 0-3-6-8. San Francisco 49ers: 0-20-7-14. Final: 17-41.

