Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers

NFL· Week 2
LWLLPoints 187-186
LLWWPoints 257-218
Home12W 0D 8L(482-426)
Away13W 0D 7L(482-495)

SoFi Stadium

Value found

+21.2% edge

San Francisco 49ers win

1.49AI fair odds
1.81Bookmaker odds
+21.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Kickoff
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Los Angeles Chargers
036817
San Francisco 49ers
02071441

AI match analysis

Los Angeles Chargers win
33%
Draw
0%
San Francisco 49ers win
67%

Predicted score: 18-27

The historical data indicates the San Francisco 49ers have had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning 3 of the last 5 matchups against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers have struggled, winning just once in their last five matches and averaging 18.3 points per game, which is notably lower than the 49ers' scoring average of 25.9. This suggests that the 49ers might capitalize on their offensive capabilities while the Chargers face challenges in their current form.

  • San Francisco 49ers scored an average of 25.9 points over their last 10 matches
  • Los Angeles Chargers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • San Francisco 49ers lead the recent head-to-head, winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters
  • Los Angeles Chargers have been averaging only 18.3 points in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
73/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors San Francisco 49ers

  • Tighter defenseLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers are conceding just 18.6 points per game over their recent matches.

    18.6/game conceded
  • Historical edgeSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked San Francisco 49ers at 67% — final result was San Francisco 49ers win, Los Angeles Chargers 17-41 San Francisco 49ers.

Predicted score was 18-27.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

San Francisco 49ers1.81market 55.3% · model 67%
Los Angeles Chargers2.00market 49.9% · model 33%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Los Angeles Chargers have averaged 18.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • San Francisco 49ers have averaged 25.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Los Angeles Chargers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with San Francisco 49ers.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Los Angeles Chargers2.00best 2.05AI 33%
San Francisco 49ers1.81best 1.83AI 67%

Point spread

LineLos Angeles ChargersSan Francisco 49ers
-1.51.981.79
-12.001.85
-0.51.831.88
+0.51.821.88
+11.891.92
+1.51.881.89
+21.801.90
+2.51.791.93

Total points

LineOverUnder
361.672.05
36.51.692.05
371.771.93
37.51.861.90
381.901.85
38.51.921.83
391.941.83
39.51.961.77

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Los Angeles Chargers2.00
San Francisco 49ers1.81
20 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Los Angeles Chargers win-14.4pp
AI
33%
Market
47.4%
San Francisco 49ers win+14.4pp
AI
67%
Market
52.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Los Angeles Chargers wins
0Draws
3San Francisco 49ers wins
99-103Points
Standings not available yet.

More NFL predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers?+

Our AI model favors San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 67% probability (Los Angeles Chargers 33%).

What time does Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Chargers vs San Francisco 49ers?+

Los Angeles Chargers: 0-3-6-8. San Francisco 49ers: 0-20-7-14. Final: 17-41.