Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Value found
+6.3% edgePittsburgh Pirates win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 7 | 0 |
 Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-3
The data suggests that the Dodgers have a solid advantage in this matchup, boasting a 65% home win rate and a recent run of strong performances. Historically, they have won 5 of the last 10 contests against the Pirates. While both teams have been scoring similarly in recent games, the Dodgers' overall standing and home-field advantage give them a higher likelihood of victory.
- The Dodgers have a 65% home win rate this season.
- Los Angeles has a strong recent form, winning 8 of its last 10 games.
- The Pirates have struggled on the road, with only a 40% away win rate this season.
- In their last 10 games, Pittsburgh has scored an average of 4.8 runs, slightly behind Los Angeles's average of 4.8 runs.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Los Angeles Dodgers
- Poor recent formLos Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formPittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Strong home recordLos Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers have won 13 of their last 20 home matches.
13/20 home wins - Strong away recordPittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates have won 8 of their last 20 away matches.
8/20 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Los Angeles Dodgers at 65% — final result was Los Angeles Dodgers win, Los Angeles Dodgers 4-3 Pittsburgh Pirates.
Predicted score was 5-3.
This was a high confidence pick (88/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Los Angeles Dodgers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Pittsburgh Pirates.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Los Angeles Dodgers | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 3.85 | 1.25▼ |
| -4 | 3.85 | 1.20 |
| -3.5 | 3.03▲ | 1.36▼ |
| -3 | 2.79▲ | 1.42▼ |
| -2.5 | 2.36▲ | 1.56▼ |
| -2 | 2.14▲ | 1.69▲ |
| -1.5 | 1.89▲ | 1.92 |
| -1 | 1.53▼ | 2.46▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.39▲ | 2.89▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.53▲ | 2.46▼ |
| 7 | 1.66▲ | 2.19▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.91▲ | 1.90▼ |
| 8 | 2.03▲ | 1.76▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.21▲ | 1.64▼ |
| 9 | 2.58▲ | 1.48▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.79▲ | 1.41▲ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Los Angeles DodgersPittsburgh PiratesLos Angeles DodgersPittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh PiratesLos Angeles DodgersPittsburgh PiratesLos Angeles DodgersPittsburgh PiratesLos Angeles DodgersLeague standings
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Baltimore OriolesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates?+
Our AI model favors Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 65% probability (Pittsburgh Pirates 35%).
What time does Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates?+
Los Angeles Dodgers: 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 0, 0, 0. Pittsburgh Pirates: 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-3.