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Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv

First League· Regular Season - 5
Ludogorets
2–0Full-time
Botev Plovdiv
WWWDGoals 8-92nd in league
WLWLGoals 16-128th in league
Home3W 1D 0L(6-2)
Away0W 0D 3L(2-6)
Huvepharma Arena

Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad · Capacity 10,422 · grass · Referee: D. Draganov

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 32'T. Awanyi
  2. 34'Rwan Cruz (B. Tekpetey)
  3. 46'N. Iliev (Georgi Milanov)
  4. 46'T. Awanyi (Marvin Senger)
  5. 60'Franklin Mascote (O. M. Chidera)
  6. 71'A. Salido Tajero (Deroy Duarte)
  7. 71'Asen Chandarov (E. Silva)
  8. 71'Mauro Rodrigues (D. Tonev)
  9. 79'Rwan Cruz
  10. 80'B. Tekpetey (Yves Erick Bile)
  11. 80'Simeon Shishkov (Vinicius Nogueira)
  12. 80'Rwan Cruz (Kwadwo Duah)
  13. 90'Aguibou Camara (A. Marinov)

Lineups

Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
39. Hendrik Bonmann
← 80'
42. Simeon Shishkov
3. Anton Nedyalkov
15. Edvin Kurtulus
2. Joel Andersson
26
26. F. Kaloč
18. Ivajlo Chochev
37
← 80'
37. B. Tekpetey
← 90'
20. Aguibou Camara
7
← 71'
7. A. Salido Tajero
← 80'
12. Rwan Cruz
30
← 60'
30. Franklin Mascote
90. Samuel Kalu
7
← 46'
7. N. Iliev
← 71'
19. Mauro Rodrigues
10
← 71'
10. Asen Chandarov
77
77. Lucas Araujo
27
27. Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein
20
← 46'
20. T. Awanyi
87
87. S. Petrov
82
82. V. Mendes
29
29. D. Naumov
Thomas ReisCoachStanislav Genchev
Bench (11)
Bench (11)
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
0.8
Goals/game
1.6
0.9
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Ludogorets win
59%
Draw
23%
Botev Plovdiv win
18%
45.1%BTTS
39.1%Over 2.5
28.7%Ludogorets clean sheet
36.8%Botev Plovdiv clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Ludogorets enters this match with strong home form, having won all of their matches at home so far this season. In contrast, Botev Plovdiv has struggled on the road, losing their only away match. Historical performances favor Ludogorets, especially given their recent head-to-head results against Botev Plovdiv.

  • Ludogorets has won all of their home matches this season.
  • Botev Plovdiv has lost their only away match this season.
  • Ludogorets has a strong head-to-head record against Botev Plovdiv in recent encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
96/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Ludogorets

  • Strong home recordLudogorets

    Ludogorets have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.

    3/4 home wins
  • Weak away recordBotev Plovdiv

    Botev Plovdiv have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.

    0/3 away wins
  • Sharper attackBotev Plovdiv

    Botev Plovdiv are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game
  • Historical edgeLudogorets

    Ludogorets have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Ludogorets at 59% — final result was Ludogorets win, Ludogorets 2-0 Botev Plovdiv.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (96/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Ludogorets ✓1.54market 64.7% · model 59%
Draw4.03market 24.8% · model 23%
Botev Plovdiv5.29market 18.9% · model 18%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Ludogorets have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Botev Plovdiv have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Ludogorets wins
1Draws
1Botev Plovdiv wins
17-7Goals
Botev Plovdiv
2–1Feb 23, 2026, 4:00 PM
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
2–1Aug 31, 2025, 6:30 PM
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2–4Dec 19, 2024, 3:00 PM
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
3–0Dec 8, 2024, 3:00 PM
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
0–2Mar 10, 2024, 3:45 PM
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
2–2Sep 16, 2023, 5:00 PM
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
0–2May 7, 2023, 5:15 PM
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1–0Oct 23, 2022, 4:15 PM
Botev Plovdiv

Odds comparison

Match winner

Ludogorets1.54▼best 1.58
Draw4.03▲best 4.33
Botev Plovdiv5.29▲best 5.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.64▼best 1.67
Under 2.52.16▲best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.68▼best 1.73
No2.04▲best 2.20

Double chance

Ludogorets/Draw1.13▼best 1.17
Ludogorets/Botev Plovdiv1.20best 1.25
Draw/Botev Plovdiv2.32▲best 2.45

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.50best 6.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Ludogorets1.54▼ 0.02
Draw4.03▲ 0.11
Botev Plovdiv5.29▲ 0.11
15 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Ludogorets win-0.7pp
AI
59%
Market
59.7%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
23%
Market
22.9%
Botev Plovdiv win+0.6pp
AI
18%
Market
17.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Ludogorets
6510+716WWWW
8
Botev Plovdiv
6213-27LWWL

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game1.6
0.9Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Draganov

5Yellow cards / game
0.11Red cards / game
0.22Penalties scored / game

Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Ludogorets

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Botev Plovdiv

0-15'
7.7%
16-30'
15.4%
31-45'
15.4%
46-60'
38.5%
61-75'
7.7%
76-90+'
15.4%

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14.67
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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv?+

Our AI model favors Ludogorets to win, with a 59% probability (Draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 18%).

Where is Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv played?+

The match is played at Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad (capacity 10,422).

What time does Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).