Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets
Value found
+3.6% edgeCherepovets win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 27'T. Collis
- 27'D. Dibirgadzhiev
- 42'I. Antsiferov
- 52'I. Salnikov (D. Dibirgadzhiev)
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-3
The data suggests a competitive match, with Cherepovets having the upper hand after their recent victory against Luki-Energiya. While Luki-Energiya's scoring average is slightly higher, their defensive vulnerabilities could play a critical role in this match. Cherepovets' recent trend of drawing matches may indicate a cautious approach, but their overall form shows potential for scoring.
- Cherepovets won the last head-to-head match 4-2 away
- Luki-Energiya averages 1.8 goals scored but also 1.4 conceded in last 10 matches
- Cherepovets has a solid defensive record with only 1.13 goals conceded per game in last 8 matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Luki-Energiya
- Historical edgeCherepovets
Cherepovets have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Poor recent formLuki-Energiya
Luki-Energiya have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackLuki-Energiya
Luki-Energiya are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Tighter defenseCherepovets
Cherepovets are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Luki-Energiya at 45.69% — final result was Luki-Energiya win, Luki-Energiya 4-1 Cherepovets.
Predicted score was 2-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Luki-Energiya have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cherepovets have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 8 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 2 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 8 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Luki-Energiya
More Cup predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?+
Our AI model favors Luki-Energiya to win, with a 45.69% probability (Draw 26.87%, Cherepovets 27.44%).
What time does Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 1:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).