Mallorca vs Valladolid
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca · Capacity 23,142 · grass · Referee: A. Fuentes
Match events
- 36'M. Calatayud
- 45+1'Sergi Darder
- 60'David Torres
- 61'Ramón Martínez
- 62'Pablo Torre
- 68'M. Calatayud (Mateu Morey)
- 68'Antoniu Roca (Adrian Liso)
- 68'Pablo Torre (Alex Sala)
- 72'Raillo (Alex Sala)
- 73'T. Ojeda (Mathis Lachuer)
- 73'Victor Fernandez (J. Delgado)
- 81'Z. Luvumbo (Antonio Sánchez)
- 85'Yeray Cabanzón (Vegard Erlien)
- 85'Julien Ponceau (M. Parriego)
- 89'Manuel Morlanes (Arnau Puigmal)
- 90'Adrian Liso
- 90'Goal Disallowed - video review — Adrian Liso
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Mallorca has a favorable head-to-head record against Valladolid, winning 2 of their last 5 encounters. Historically, Mallorca's home performance shows resilience, especially against lower-ranked sides, while Valladolid's recent away form has not been convincing, with a scoring average of only 0.9 goals per game. These factors indicate that Mallorca may have the upper hand in this matchup.
- Mallorca unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Valladolid
- Valladolid has struggled recently with 3 losses in last 5 matches
- Mallorca's average of 1.4 goals scored per game suggests a strong attacking potential
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Mallorca
- Sharper attackMallorca
Mallorca are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game - Historical edgeValladolid
Valladolid have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formMallorca
Mallorca have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Poor recent formValladolid
Valladolid have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Mallorca at 57% — final result was Mallorca win, Mallorca 2-0 Valladolid.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Mallorca have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Valladolid have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Mallorca
ValladolidValladolidMallorcaValladolidMallorcaMallorcaValladolidMallorcaValladolidValladolidMallorcaValladolidMallorcaMallorcaValladolidOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mallorca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 21 | Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
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EldenseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Mallorca vs Valladolid?+
Our AI model favors Mallorca to win, with a 57% probability (Draw 26%, Valladolid 17%).
Where is Mallorca vs Valladolid played?+
The match is played at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca (capacity 23,142).
What time does Mallorca vs Valladolid kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).